Asian League · resolved market
Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd1a8609d6e9f146c60fbacf4a3764d06f2f2b7c0260a3f0bef05dfe78cd124b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,311
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,017
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,311 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Under | 44c | 2,000$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 56c | 1,996$1,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.96 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 56c | 1,244$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.43 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2930…4cf8backed Over | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed Over | 60c | 539.61$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.13 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 41c | 448.2$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.76 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed Over | 78c | 408$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.54 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x330f…423ebacked Over | 44c | 285.67$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed Over | 59c | 200$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 39c | 150.56$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.18 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad7…c097backed Over | 41c | 114.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.85 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 63c | 111.24$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.24 | 334 | 52.7%176 W · 158 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 42c | 102.29$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.54 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5853…dc28backed Under | 61c | 95.1$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34da…ac26backed Under | 40c | 95$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Over | 35c | 46.91$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.51 | 131 | 53.4%70 W · 61 L | +14.1wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x07bc…393abacked Over | 57c | 37.68$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.37 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked Under | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.9wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 33c | 31.69$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +7.0wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…8528backed Over | 68c | 29.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0052…4d9ebacked Over | 58c | 25.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.49 | 70 | 68.6%48 W · 22 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a9…8000backed Under | 59c | 22.59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca6d…492bbacked Under | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 58c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 141 | 53.2%75 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 4.5this page
- Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.