Asian League · resolved market
Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9386f2d9984af54e984c0ea7d1f40c282782384e8b511dd5688b8e2c44a4a478
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,561
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,269
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,561 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Under | 5c | 1,052$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.6 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | +9.9wins | +0.15per pick | 29cpaid | +82%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 77c | 651.58$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.58 | 120 | 74.2%89 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 23c | 474.31$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.93 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 23c | 366.96$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.36 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Over | 75c | 172$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Over | 73c | 77$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.79 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…0dd0backed Over | 73c | 66$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72df…42f6backed Under | 25c | 48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +22%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 34c | 45.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 307 | 50.8%156 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78a4…05afbacked Under | 27c | 41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -42%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 38c | 32.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Over | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Over | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Over | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 74c | 21.08$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.48 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -5.7wins | -0.16per pick | 70cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 1.5this page
- Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Over won
- Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.