Asian League · resolved market
Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d06b2b89cbc3e0389dd966bec24fbd222daee4db22dc6afd5e488e5bb20ba26
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $132,767
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $133,619
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $132,767 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Over | 48c | 117,854$56,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61,312.47 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 52c | 100,000$52,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,000 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Under | 53c | 5,444$2,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,869.18 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 52c | 4,178$2,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,177.14 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 52c | 2,856$1,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,493.14 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 52c | 2,324$1,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,215.48 | 275 | 40.7%112 W · 163 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 45c | 2,240$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,235.06 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Under | 58c | 2,219$1,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,294.58 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Under | 54c | 1,850$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 44c | 1,476$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.63 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Under | 61c | 1,200$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 39cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Under | 5c | 1,018$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | +9.9wins | +0.15per pick | 29cpaid | +82%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Under | 53c | 599.81$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.9 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -5.2wins | -0.40per pick | 48cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe00f…c254backed Under | 55c | 362.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68d2…92c8backed Under | 48c | 318.1$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.69 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 50c | 277.66$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.66 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Under | 52c | 266.44$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.67 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…5590backed Under | 51c | 219.09$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.57 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Over | 48c | 208.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.49 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 46c | 179.98$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.6 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9569…27fdbacked Under | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Under | 52c | 144.97$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.43 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -9.0wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -49%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…e14fbacked Over | 47c | 143.91$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.59 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd995…9bcbbacked Under | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x086f…8bc3backed Over | 44c | 101$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.06 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x34da…ac26backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 35c | 94.34$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.34 | 307 | 50.8%156 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac7a…414fbacked Under | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f0…327cbacked Under | 53c | 75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Under | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Over | 47c | 61.1$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.16 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf263…e9c1backed Under | 33c | 60.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Under | 52c | 59.5$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.94 | 81 | 56.8%46 W · 35 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 53c | 54.87$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.16 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked Under | 50c | 52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Under | 54c | 51.61$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed Over | 42c | 50.84$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.34 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0052…4d9ebacked Over | 68c | 47.49$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 70 | 68.6%48 W · 22 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a9…8000backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 52c | 35.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.52 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…d6cbbacked Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 61cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe126…76bfbacked Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 56cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25c3…eb62backed Over | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…f5efbacked Over | 48c | 20.71$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.69 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c80…aa9abacked Over | 78c | 16.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.62 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 2.5this page
- Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Over won
- Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.