Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee31b7a43db53c3d27ad2feab60ded996b7415e896671d5a6640ba5769cee8fc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kansas Jayhawksof Arizona Wildcats, Kansas Jayhawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,601
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,644
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,601 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Kansas Jayhawks | 40c | 14,976$6,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,916 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Arizona Wildcats | 54c | 10,764$5,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,848.32 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9f…e125backed Kansas Jayhawks | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Kansas Jayhawks | 47c | 7,000$3,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,710 | 351 | 51.9%182 W · 169 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Kansas Jayhawks | 40c | 6,976$2,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,185.76 | 441 | 46.5%205 W · 236 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Arizona Wildcats | 60c | 6,036$3,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,621.6 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9764…c40cbacked Arizona Wildcats | 60c | 4,321$2,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,579.98 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Arizona Wildcats | 54c | 4,106$2,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,233.36 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Arizona Wildcats | 50c | 2,572$1,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,286 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Arizona Wildcats | 52c | 2,100$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2123…8d70backed Kansas Jayhawks | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Kansas Jayhawks | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 429 | 34.3%147 W · 282 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe584…e6e2backed Arizona Wildcats | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1a…7ddebacked Arizona Wildcats | 56c | 839.29$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Arizona Wildcats | 50c | 699.99$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Arizona Wildcats | 60c | 550$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc070…203abacked Kansas Jayhawks | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Kansas Jayhawks | 50c | 326$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163 | 246 | 49.6%122 W · 124 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66fe…42c6backed Kansas Jayhawks | 48c | 308.17$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Arizona Wildcats | 52c | 299.99$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Arizona Wildcats | 60c | 241$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.6 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4683…1218backed Arizona Wildcats | 52c | 211.54$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Kansas Jayhawks | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 574 | 48.3%277 W · 297 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6e…b1a7backed Kansas Jayhawks | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | -12.5wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Arizona Wildcats | 54c | 199.99$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf263…e9c1backed Kansas Jayhawks | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 48 | 77.1%37 W · 11 L | +6.7wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Arizona Wildcats | 60c | 184$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.4 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eee…9b2bbacked Kansas Jayhawks | 50c | 153.18$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.59 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30ad…6a69backed Kansas Jayhawks | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Arizona Wildcats | 53c | 149.99$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.49 | 294 | 42.9%126 W · 168 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70b2…1950backed Kansas Jayhawks | 49c | 99.96$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.96 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8c…d58cbacked Kansas Jayhawks | 52c | 90$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Kansas Jayhawks | 47c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.4 | 349 | 52.1%182 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3778…8604backed Arizona Wildcats | 64c | 66.33$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.12 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | -6.6wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Kansas Jayhawks | 51c | 31.37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Kansas Jayhawks | 47c | 31.35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0448…5a75backed Arizona Wildcats | 53c | 30.39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…2022backed Kansas Jayhawks | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 39 | 74.4%29 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8755…e152backed Kansas Jayhawks | 52c | 28.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.84 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5afa…3dd1backed Kansas Jayhawks | 52c | 28.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.84 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd676…4c79backed Kansas Jayhawks | 52c | 28.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.84 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a75…9d4fbacked Arizona Wildcats | 50c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Arizona Wildcats | 53c | 20.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 306 | 52%159 W · 147 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf1…0b3dbacked Kansas Jayhawks | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-2.5)this page
- Arizona Wildcats vs. Kansas JayhawksKansas Jayhawks won
- Arizona Wildcats vs. Kansas Jayhawks: O/U 153.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.