Lol · resolved market

LoL: Solary vs HMBLE - Game 1 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x30704757ebca59a2a6b1f1c9e4b3de6730a5875ac4648f7048a5f17772f24976

Rebuilt 14 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Solaryof Solary, HMBLE
Resolved: Mar 9, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $57,777

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,777 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Lol
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x910d…cfc0backed Solary	60c	4,498$2,684 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,814.12	184	51.6%95 W · 89 L	+9.4wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	0%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x54cf…e36dbacked HMBLE	9c	3,194$292 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$291.82	38	42.1%16 W · 22 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed HMBLE	9c	2,681$251 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$251.47	131	30.5%40 W · 91 L	-13.9wins	-0.11per pick	41cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked HMBLE	47c	2,137$1,011 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,011.26	1,598	42.4%677 W · 921 L	-17.9wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked HMBLE	9c	1,652$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.59	2,825	41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L	-14.1wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x74a8…df59backed HMBLE	9c	1,534$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138.03	360	34.4%124 W · 236 L	-21.2wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc006…3c94backed HMBLE	9c	1,404$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126	50	34%17 W · 33 L	-5.2wins	-0.10per pick	44cpaid	-40.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6eb8…c665backed HMBLE	19c	1,326$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	331	43.8%145 W · 186 L	-11.9wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f45…ab6abacked HMBLE	17c	1,194$203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202.98	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	-2.8wins	-0.17per pick	49cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3186…e9cabacked HMBLE	18c	1,176$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209.75	1,536	62.6%961 W · 575 L	+157.8wins	+0.10per pick	52cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb40e…7787backed HMBLE	9c	1,111$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	644	43%277 W · 367 L	-27.0wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb968…3930backed HMBLE	21c	1,111$237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$236.51	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed HMBLE	9c	1,019$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.46	183	50.8%93 W · 90 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed HMBLE	9c	1,000$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	1,806	39.1%707 W · 1,099 L	-30.8wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-12%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed HMBLE	11c	972.85$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.27	188	29.8%56 W · 132 L	-11.1wins	-0.06per pick	36cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed HMBLE	9c	702$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.18	2,226	37.5%834 W · 1,392 L	-29.3wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed HMBLE	9c	656.11$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.05	427	35.4%151 W · 276 L	-17.6wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ddc…9c0fbacked HMBLE	9c	641.76$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.27	218	44%96 W · 122 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc397…bb3bbacked HMBLE	50c	606$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	1,663	59.5%990 W · 673 L	+98.5wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed HMBLE	3c	593.11$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.68	3,131	33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L	-150.7wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc9c5…6394backed HMBLE	17c	591.73$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	87	26.4%23 W · 64 L	-6.3wins	-0.07per pick	34cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9e15…7ec8backed Solary	55c	585.18$320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$265.18	33	69.7%23 W · 10 L	+2.5wins	+0.08per pick	62cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed HMBLE	11c	563.64$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62	219	43.8%96 W · 123 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d9f…787abacked Solary	48c	536.64$258 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$279.05	610	45.2%276 W · 334 L	+35.4wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	+16%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7771…009fbacked Solary	50c	500$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$250	1,007	48.2%485 W · 522 L	+7.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe74b…ee88backed Solary	50c	500$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$250	862	51.3%442 W · 420 L	+51.5wins	+0.06per pick	45cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5085…9bbcbacked Solary	46c	391.3$180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$211.3	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	-2.5wins	-0.11per pick	59cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked HMBLE	9c	323$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.07	62	35.5%22 W · 40 L	-5.3wins	-0.08per pick	44cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x19f2…f4a1backed HMBLE	15c	312.96$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.25	28	21.4%6 W · 22 L	-4.2wins	-0.15per pick	36cpaid	-49.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf201…527ebacked Solary	51c	312$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$152.04	1,295	45.1%584 W · 711 L	+49.7wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x520e…d75abacked HMBLE	9c	304.5$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.41	288	37.5%108 W · 180 L	-16.7wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8a9d…69fbbacked HMBLE	26c	272.73$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	155	36.8%57 W · 98 L	-5.7wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x896c…5692backed HMBLE	10c	258.55$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+37.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed HMBLE	23c	256.64$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.34	2,905	38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L	-118.5wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe625…94c0backed Solary	49c	204.08$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.08	743	44%327 W · 416 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x13e5…1ea5backed HMBLE	49c	203.22$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.71	199	48.2%96 W · 103 L	-5.9wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf859…a183backed Solary	75c	200$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	1,213	52.3%635 W · 578 L	+33.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2417…86b1backed HMBLE	9c	200$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	179	45.3%81 W · 98 L	+12.7wins	+0.07per pick	38cpaid	+19.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4c67…9896backed HMBLE	13c	200$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.71	506	46%233 W · 273 L	+2.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked HMBLE	10c	199.99$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1,368	37.7%516 W · 852 L	-6.8wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xd15e…db59backed HMBLE	50c	198$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99	217	47%102 W · 115 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xbf14…5d95backed HMBLE	9c	187.9$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.04	66	27.3%18 W · 48 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	25cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed HMBLE	10c	175.29$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.23	106	38.7%41 W · 65 L	-10.3wins	-0.10per pick	48cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf163…ca34backed HMBLE	33c	174.45$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.08	1,477	48.3%713 W · 764 L	+45.1wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c2e…e9a4backed HMBLE	9c	164.73$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.71	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	23cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed HMBLE	8c	160$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	1,728	29.5%509 W · 1,219 L	-123.2wins	-0.07per pick	37cpaid	-39.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x67f7…6876backed HMBLE	12c	140$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.2	28	17.9%5 W · 23 L	-2.0wins	-0.07per pick	25cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3cea…03d4backed HMBLE	9c	133.33$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	89	29.2%26 W · 63 L	-7.5wins	-0.08per pick	38cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5559…2bd2backed HMBLE	16c	125.39$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	211	41.2%87 W · 124 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdad…9eaebacked HMBLE	9c	120$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.8	123	33.3%41 W · 82 L	-5.1wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-18%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7af0…509dbacked Solary	60c	109.13$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.65	252	68.3%172 W · 80 L	+14.5wins	+0.06per pick	63cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked HMBLE	46c	90.9$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.81	2,341	40.3%943 W · 1,398 L	-61.8wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6846…a82fbacked HMBLE	52c	71.25$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.99	24	33.3%8 W · 16 L	-2.3wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Solary	53c	70$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.9	2,311	39.4%910 W · 1,401 L	-83.4wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8755…e152backed HMBLE	17c	69.98$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.24	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7132…f7f0backed HMBLE	29c	68.45$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	59cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee5e…7f1cbacked HMBLE	29c	54.98$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.99	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-1.9wins	-0.19per pick	59cpaid	-44.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x29f8…ffa9backed HMBLE	51c	50.14$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.57	84	38.1%32 W · 52 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Solary	53c	42$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.74	1,924	35.9%691 W · 1,233 L	-97.7wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2501…d795backed HMBLE	45c	37.61$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.98	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8948…19b7backed HMBLE	55c	30.91$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	46	63%29 W · 17 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	63cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Solary	68c	28.82$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.22	233	48.1%112 W · 121 L	-4.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

LoL: Solary vs HMBLE - Game 1 Winnerthis page
Game Handicap: SLY (-1.5) vs HMBLE (+1.5)Solary won
Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
LoL: Solary vs HMBLE (BO3) - EMEA Masters Champions RoundSolary won
LoL: Solary vs HMBLE - Game 2 WinnerSolary won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

LoL: Solary vs HMBLE - Game 1 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event