Lol · resolved market
LoL: Solary vs HMBLE (BO3) - EMEA Masters Champions Round
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd96f9328959fe3c88e14b177fae59104c19d60d4e6977be79fc0fd46809828c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Solaryof Solary, HMBLE
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $137,797
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $137,797 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2560…0b02backed HMBLE | 7c | 32,812$2,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,353.83 | 397 | 49.1%195 W · 202 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe308…25cdbacked HMBLE | 6c | 13,551$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.06 | 664 | 37.2%247 W · 417 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed HMBLE | 8c | 8,453$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.23 | 1,058 | 23.5%249 W · 809 L | -75.8wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb3f…6d4dbacked HMBLE | 7c | 5,595$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.03 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed HMBLE | 5c | 5,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa66e…f4bebacked HMBLE | 7c | 4,080$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed HMBLE | 6c | 3,034$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.86 | 276 | 36.2%100 W · 176 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…2b06backed HMBLE | 5c | 2,193$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.65 | 480 | 35.4%170 W · 310 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0133…64bcbacked HMBLE | 5c | 2,101$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.3 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7044…2eb6backed HMBLE | 7c | 1,515$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 338 | 57.1%193 W · 145 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked HMBLE | 8c | 1,330$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.52 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed HMBLE | 7c | 1,228$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.28 | 80 | 33.8%27 W · 53 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed HMBLE | 6c | 1,111$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.79 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed HMBLE | 9c | 1,016$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.81 | 180 | 41.7%75 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked HMBLE | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 771 | 31.8%245 W · 526 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed HMBLE | 12c | 841.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 664 | 45.6%303 W · 361 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed HMBLE | 7c | 761.43$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.3 | 644 | 43%277 W · 367 L | -27.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aec…b4cebacked HMBLE | 7c | 672.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed HMBLE | 5c | 660.52$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.53 | 679 | 31.8%216 W · 463 L | -31.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d18…3d29backed HMBLE | 8c | 600$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed HMBLE | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 93 | 37.6%35 W · 58 L | +12.5wins | +0.13per pick | 24cpaid | +92.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed HMBLE | 3c | 418.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f74…4fccbacked HMBLE | 7c | 400$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed HMBLE | 7c | 398.03$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.58 | 1,728 | 29.5%509 W · 1,219 L | -123.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed HMBLE | 8c | 384.97$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.25 | 441 | 28.1%124 W · 317 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked HMBLE | 8c | 379.68$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.93 | 143 | 38.5%55 W · 88 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd5…8f67backed HMBLE | 8c | 375$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 192 | 51%98 W · 94 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2e…e9a4backed HMBLE | 7c | 367.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x974a…98c3backed HMBLE | 12c | 278$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.04 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5562…3b41backed HMBLE | 7c | 248$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed HMBLE | 7c | 239$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a35…6fe0backed HMBLE | 7c | 216.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 336 | 42.3%142 W · 194 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53c5…cb95backed HMBLE | 14c | 187$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.32 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5655…17a2backed HMBLE | 7c | 166.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed HMBLE | 9c | 160$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 748 | 49.6%371 W · 377 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked HMBLE | 7c | 150$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 318 | 29.2%93 W · 225 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked HMBLE | 8c | 136.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Solary vs HMBLE (BO3) - EMEA Masters Champions Roundthis page
- Game Handicap: SLY (-1.5) vs HMBLE (+1.5)Solary won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Solary vs HMBLE - Game 1 WinnerSolary won
- LoL: Solary vs HMBLE - Game 2 WinnerSolary won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.