TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5655…17a2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
50
Categories scored
2
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Lol, grading 48 out of 100 (-0.02 per pick) — its least-bad Category, not a recommendation. Every Category this wallet trades grades at or below 50, which is what “no edge at all” looks like.

Best Category Lol at 48 out of 100; worst Tennis at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT3938.5%15 W · 24 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BNP Paribas Open: Alexandra Eala vs Linda Noskovabacked Linda Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$17.37
BNP Paribas Open: Victoria Mboko vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Victoria Mboko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$34.52
Set Handicap: Tien (-1.5) vs Fokina (+1.5)backed Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$11.31
Hersonissos 2: Daniel Rincon vs Buvaysar Gadamauribacked Buvaysar Gadamauri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
BNP Paribas Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Casper Ruudbacked Valentin Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.26
BNP Paribas Open: Alex Michelsen vs Taylor Fritzbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.06
BNP Paribas Open: Alexander Bublik vs Rinky Hijikatabacked Rinky Hijikata · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+400%+$51.27
BNP Paribas Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Jack Draperbacked Francisco Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.33
Set Handicap: Minaur (-1.5) vs Norrie (+1.5)backed Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+150%+$25.59
Set Handicap: Muchova (-1.5) vs Ruzic (+1.5)backed Ruzic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.63
BNP Paribas Open: Sebastian Korda vs Alex de Minaurbacked Sebastian Korda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$12.5
BNP Paribas Open: Cameron Norrie vs Mackenzie McDonaldbacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+65.3%+$52.96
BNP Paribas Open: Tomas Etcheverry vs Denis Shapovalovbacked Tomas Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$24.65
BNP Paribas Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Frances Tiafoebacked Jenson Brooksby · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$24.75
BNP Paribas Open: Dino Prizmic vs Arthur Filsbacked Dino Prizmic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$12.29
BNP Paribas Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+112.8%+$42.74
BNP Paribas Open: Matteo Arnaldi vs Mackenzie McDonaldbacked Mackenzie McDonald · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+78.6%+$19.82
BNP Paribas Open: Francesco Maestrelli vs Rinky Hijikatabacked Francesco Maestrelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$25.28
BNP Paribas Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Rafael Jodarbacked Alejandro Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+117.4%+$44.02
Set Handicap: Michelsen (-1.5) vs Aguilar (+1.5)backed Aguilar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$25.24
BNP Paribas Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsenbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$12.5
BNP Paribas Open: Jacob Fearnley vs Damir Dzumhurbacked Damir Dzumhur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$25.27
BNP Paribas Open: Terence Atmane vs Grigor Dimitrovbacked Terence Atmane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$25.31
BNP Paribas Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricardbacked Kamil Majchrzak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+81.8%+$30.68
BNP Paribas Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Sho Shimabukurobacked Sho Shimabukuro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$37.5
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT1118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-56.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: G2 NORD vs Lupus Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group 4backed Lupus Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
LoL: Galions vs Vantex Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group 2backed Vantex Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
LoL: Barça eSports vs BRUTE (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group 1backed BRUTE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group 2backed Bushido Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
LoL: DMG Esports vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group 1backed DMG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
LoL: Solary vs HMBLE (BO3) - EMEA Masters Champions Roundbacked HMBLE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.67
LoL: FURIA Esports vs Cloud9 (BO5) - Americas Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$30.9
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.28
Game Handicap: NBS (-2.5) vs BRUTE (+2.5)backed NightBirds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+156.4%+$36.31
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$12.69
LoL: Rising Gaming vs Clocks (BO3) - LJL Stage 2 - Group Bbacked Rising Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$25
All 11 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.