Lol · resolved market
LoL: Rising Gaming vs Clocks (BO3) - LJL Stage 2 - Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23cc8f541e264038d1f6b8057f6a0f71290d7f5e580103bfb3ea63acf0157852
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Clocksof Rising Gaming, Clocks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,111
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,111 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Rising Gaming | 68c | 1,500$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Clocks | 32c | 1,474$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.16 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed Clocks | 54c | 300.95$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.59 | 744 | 62.2%463 W · 281 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Rising Gaming | 58c | 173.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Rising Gaming | 27c | 160.01$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.27 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Rising Gaming | 63c | 157.79$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Clocks | 60c | 117.59$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.04 | 1,806 | 39.1%707 W · 1,099 L | -30.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Rising Gaming | 64c | 113.24$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 955 | 51.7%494 W · 461 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee1…377abacked Clocks | 57c | 69.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.36 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5834…7c9abacked Rising Gaming | 34c | 62.56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe516…14ffbacked Clocks | 44c | 56.36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.36 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…38babacked Rising Gaming | 36c | 55.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,443 | 43.4%626 W · 817 L | +105.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb64f…3203backed Rising Gaming | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f07…b10abacked Clocks | 66c | 48.46$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.42 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5655…17a2backed Rising Gaming | 53c | 47.62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3648…fc70backed Rising Gaming | 62c | 38.19$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68a3…9551backed Clocks | 80c | 37.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x191a…2ea6backed Rising Gaming | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 63cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed Clocks | 58c | 28.02$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 456 | 18.9%86 W · 370 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Rising Gaming | 54c | 21.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 249 | 59.8%149 W · 100 L | +18.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa649…af7dbacked Rising Gaming | 68c | 19.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 81 | 61.7%50 W · 31 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05e0…0139backed Rising Gaming | 77c | 13.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3733…d0f6backed Rising Gaming | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Rising Gaming vs Clocks (BO3) - LJL Stage 2 - Group Bthis page
- LoL: Rising Gaming vs Clocks - Game 1 WinnerClocks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.