TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Duquesne Dukes vs. Davidson Wildcats

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Duquesne Dukesof Duquesne Dukes, Davidson Wildcats
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$39,410
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$42,403

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,410 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Davidson Wildcats29c2,648$777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$776.711,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedf0…1e2abacked Duquesne Dukes48c2,500$1,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,301.812259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Duquesne Dukes53c2,467$1,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,154.1723158.9%136 W · 95 L+23.5wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+10.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Davidson Wildcats41c2,187$887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$886.741,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Davidson Wildcats37c1,632$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6005044%22 W · 28 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-16.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Duquesne Dukes32c1,552$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,048.165,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Duquesne Dukes66c1,143$759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.145,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Duquesne Dukes13c1,125$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$975.732,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Davidson Wildcats54c921$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.441,39144.1%613 W · 778 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Davidson Wildcats45c916.07$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.512,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0432…1660backed Duquesne Dukes64c835.55$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.83158.1%18 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+19.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc6e7…caa8backed Duquesne Dukes7c800$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7461478.8%13 W · 134 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick7cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Davidson Wildcats52c749.98$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.7712,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf79a…56c2backed Davidson Wildcats56c534.99$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.5822250.9%113 W · 109 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Davidson Wildcats40c498.97$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.3538343.6%167 W · 216 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Davidson Wildcats54c407.25$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.552,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e80…f17abacked Duquesne Dukes10c400$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.51608.1%13 W · 147 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-42.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Duquesne Dukes50c385.92$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.9655657.4%319 W · 237 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Davidson Wildcats29c370.34$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.611,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Davidson Wildcats37c250.63$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.8448051%245 W · 235 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x625f…93b1backed Duquesne Dukes73c244.37$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.98560%3 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick70cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Duquesne Dukes12c243.9$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.543,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a23…97a7backed Davidson Wildcats55c227.83$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.6721535.3%76 W · 139 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Duquesne Dukes47c220$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.757448.3%277 W · 297 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1ed…32d3backed Duquesne Dukes24c208.49$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.493253.1%17 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x611a…e63ebacked Duquesne Dukes15c200$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1703810.5%4 W · 34 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Davidson Wildcats44c177.15$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.3532343%139 W · 184 L-18.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6e4f…243cbacked Davidson Wildcats53c174$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.225156.9%29 W · 22 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x42b8…5379backed Duquesne Dukes55c172$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.72860.7%17 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Davidson Wildcats65c152.94$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10048462.8%304 W · 180 L-0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb16…9757backed Davidson Wildcats56c150.72$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick67cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed Davidson Wildcats64c145$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.510757.9%62 W · 45 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Duquesne Dukes44c136.78$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.063,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Davidson Wildcats56c124.21$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.131,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x49ec…c4e5backed Davidson Wildcats54c120$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.83636.1%13 W · 23 L-5.2wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-29.6%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xf37c…3c74backed Davidson Wildcats36c114.74$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.3121830.7%67 W · 151 L-10.6wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a52…9ad6backed Davidson Wildcats54c111.11$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603663.9%23 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Duquesne Dukes69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3119238.5%74 W · 118 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f91…20ccbacked Davidson Wildcats55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556350.8%32 W · 31 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc54f…dce8backed Davidson Wildcats36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3664322.9%147 W · 496 L-17.1wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-27.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Duquesne Dukes48c89.8$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.811055.5%61 W · 49 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Davidson Wildcats68c83$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.262,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Duquesne Dukes40c81.57$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.352,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked Davidson Wildcats52c79.17$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.1781453.1%432 W · 382 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Duquesne Dukes49c78.22$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.2224649.6%122 W · 124 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20ae…f107backed Duquesne Dukes41c75.42$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.7842327.2%115 W · 308 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Davidson Wildcats56c74.17$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.2673549.1%361 W · 374 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15ca…0a0dbacked Duquesne Dukes46c71.73$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.735253.8%28 W · 24 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5bbb…1594backed Davidson Wildcats53c67$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.515152.9%27 W · 24 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd277…73febacked Davidson Wildcats50c66$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.17per pick61cpaid-36.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Davidson Wildcats17c63.53$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5557335.6%204 W · 369 L-27.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Davidson Wildcats54c62.71$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.0245644.5%203 W · 253 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Davidson Wildcats62c61.02$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.124,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2107…8f4cbacked Davidson Wildcats36c59.29$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.113043.3%13 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x52b6…b02ebacked Davidson Wildcats22c59.09$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133925.6%10 W · 29 L-5.1wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-50%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Duquesne Dukes23c51.98$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.983455.9%19 W · 15 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+28.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x46f1…7295backed Duquesne Dukes66c51.9$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.794973.5%36 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick71cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f3a…9bdbbacked Duquesne Dukes45c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.53458.8%20 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ba8…bc05backed Davidson Wildcats56c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+26.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14cd…1716backed Duquesne Dukes45c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.53868.4%26 W · 12 L+5.9wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+28.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf702…7cc8backed Duquesne Dukes29c48.28$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.2817544%77 W · 98 L-13.5wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-25.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfacf…e97abacked Duquesne Dukes47c46$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.382568%17 W · 8 L+4.1wins+0.17per pick51cpaid+26.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x65f6…8333backed Davidson Wildcats59c42.37$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25850%4 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+81.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x98d0…01a4backed Duquesne Dukes47c40.94$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.76355.6%35 W · 28 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe37a…3478backed Duquesne Dukes71c40$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.651850%9 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Davidson Wildcats33c40$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.259254.3%50 W · 42 L-0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Duquesne Dukes29c40$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.41,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa848…68fcbacked Davidson Wildcats58c34.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202646.2%12 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-31.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb99f…f99fbacked Davidson Wildcats67c34.41$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-31.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdec5…14debacked Davidson Wildcats60c33.54$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2b5…694ebacked Duquesne Dukes47c32$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.963557.1%20 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Duquesne Dukes42c31$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.981,07447%505 W · 569 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb03…5ae4backed Davidson Wildcats68c30$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.41060%6 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Duquesne Dukes42c30$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.41,07046.9%502 W · 568 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x859a…1ccebacked Duquesne Dukes47c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.92445.8%11 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc39b…5754backed Duquesne Dukes47c26$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.783348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4889…9b17backed Duquesne Dukes47c25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.252860.7%17 W · 11 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+22.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5df7…a8edbacked Duquesne Dukes47c25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.254062.5%25 W · 15 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xafe7…8b77backed Davidson Wildcats60c24.78$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.876558.5%38 W · 27 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x056b…491cbacked Davidson Wildcats68c23.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.31540%2 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick66cpaid-42.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ad7…dfb7backed Davidson Wildcats72c20.05$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf673…a9a3backed Davidson Wildcats70c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick60cpaid-51.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xda91…4fefbacked Davidson Wildcats79c18.29$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4520%0 W · 2 L-1.6wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.