Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Belmont Bruins vs. Indiana State Sycamores
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b53dabf7d545d6ae926144e35bb7b7aeb0e80613fe59c312dabf67dba363c7a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Indiana State Sycamoresof Belmont Bruins, Indiana State Sycamores
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,589
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,798
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,589 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Belmont Bruins | 15c | 5,630$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865.33 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Belmont Bruins | 12c | 3,187$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.83 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Indiana State Sycamores | 24c | 2,216$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,681.85 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Belmont Bruins | 67c | 1,823$1,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,213.2 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…e63ebacked Belmont Bruins | 4c | 1,600$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 38 | 10.5%4 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Belmont Bruins | 20c | 1,213$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.37 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Indiana State Sycamores | 24c | 1,087$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.27 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Belmont Bruins | 76c | 1,053$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.92 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Belmont Bruins | 33c | 930.93$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.52 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dca…a7acbacked Belmont Bruins | 71c | 905$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.12 | 252 | 54.8%138 W · 114 L | -15.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Indiana State Sycamores | 63c | 854.96$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.1 | 231 | 58.9%136 W · 95 L | +23.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Belmont Bruins | 33c | 798.02$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.24 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Belmont Bruins | 16c | 640$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.75 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8470…7933backed Belmont Bruins | 13c | 613.68$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.72 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Belmont Bruins | 28c | 517.83$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 464 | 46.8%217 W · 247 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…669fbacked Belmont Bruins | 2c | 500$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 88 | 14.8%13 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Belmont Bruins | 22c | 476.67$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.44 | 383 | 43.6%167 W · 216 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Indiana State Sycamores | 24c | 476.06$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.81 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Indiana State Sycamores | 16c | 402.15$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.81 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Indiana State Sycamores | 17c | 358$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.14 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Indiana State Sycamores | 25c | 295.08$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.27 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Indiana State Sycamores | 24c | 288.53$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.62 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24db…1332backed Indiana State Sycamores | 19c | 280.24$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.59 | 132 | 19.7%26 W · 106 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Belmont Bruins | 50c | 275.05$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.27 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Indiana State Sycamores | 57c | 263.38$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.34 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Belmont Bruins | 72c | 249.99$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.99 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed Indiana State Sycamores | 24c | 204.85$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.85 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb74d…9b2abacked Belmont Bruins | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Indiana State Sycamores | 25c | 190.3$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.78 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9486…45c8backed Belmont Bruins | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Belmont Bruins | 39c | 179$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.83 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Indiana State Sycamores | 26c | 155.65$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.08 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Belmont Bruins | 72c | 135$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.58 | 323 | 43%139 W · 184 L | -18.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c74…00bcbacked Belmont Bruins | 77c | 123$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.71 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Belmont Bruins | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Belmont Bruins | 66c | 98.01$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.36 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ced…9b7cbacked Belmont Bruins | 75c | 93$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Indiana State Sycamores | 23c | 80$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.9 | 192 | 38.5%74 W · 118 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Indiana State Sycamores | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Indiana State Sycamores | 24c | 66.13$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.57 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61ea…aa6fbacked Indiana State Sycamores | 26c | 49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Belmont Bruins | 37c | 45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Indiana State Sycamores | 24c | 42$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.92 | 658 | 25.7%169 W · 489 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65f6…8333backed Belmont Bruins | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +81.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Indiana State Sycamores | 33c | 38.02$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.35 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Belmont Bruins | 66c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 254 | 38.2%97 W · 157 L | -14.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…22efbacked Belmont Bruins | 57c | 23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b9…e6d3backed Belmont Bruins | 78c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.