Champions League · resolved market
Paris Saint-Germain FC leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8abe97c36ad6dc4504150b1f19b329cf06b617034854d6ce4c76262ce7f84fcc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,480
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,959
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,480 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 67c | 3,879$2,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,613.42 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 33c | 1,912$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,281.7 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 34c | 710$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.5 | 98 | 24.5%24 W · 74 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked No | 79c | 457.94$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.54 | 92 | 62%57 W · 35 L | +9.7wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed No | 41c | 396.36$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.77 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed No | 65c | 360.29$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.19 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4449…5095backed Yes | 26c | 300$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd66b…1220backed Yes | 34c | 298.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.5 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Yes | 34c | 294.01$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.05 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 74c | 282.3$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.31 | 245 | 45.3%111 W · 134 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcff3…2eeebacked Yes | 34c | 261.4$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.4 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.31per pick | 35cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0e85…328bbacked Yes | 20c | 219.67$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 35cpaid | +109.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Yes | 13c | 217.34$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.43 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +171.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc272…a14bbacked Yes | 34c | 211.76$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d2…7ad6backed No | 35c | 191$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.85 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -36%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe547…a35abacked Yes | 65c | 185.92$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c38…a15abacked Yes | 33c | 177.57$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.68 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53f4…1837backed Yes | 28c | 176.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.34 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 73c | 171.95$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.18 | 601 | 36.9%222 W · 379 L | -28.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d2…f954backed Yes | 35c | 157.16$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed No | 66c | 150$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 106 | 58.5%62 W · 44 L | +9.4wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x494e…de24backed Yes | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…b1eebacked Yes | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0e…abd1backed No | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 65c | 143.04$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.6 | 650 | 50.2%326 W · 324 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0990…2274backed Yes | 12c | 108.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +150.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 31c | 103$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.07 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4d…d358backed Yes | 33c | 99.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.99 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 35c | 99.95$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.97 | 125 | 46.4%58 W · 67 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed No | 66c | 88.43$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.37 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.24 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 33c | 84.92$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.88 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +6.2wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Yes | 54c | 83.3$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.02 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 67c | 79.24$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.7 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00f7…4476backed Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x305b…cd21backed Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74ea…449cbacked Yes | 35c | 46$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 36cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1d…43debacked No | 62c | 41.57$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.94 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 67c | 41.11$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.41 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x709c…6a91backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00cb…a695backed Yes | 36c | 35.1$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 66c | 35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…9197backed No | 64c | 34.34$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.98 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce68…b661backed Yes | 34c | 34.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedc1…4ff3backed Yes | 35c | 34.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.29 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1521…ae21backed No | 66c | 32.85$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.68 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd19…6910backed Yes | 35c | 31.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.57 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 65c | 30.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.82 | 607 | 48.4%294 W · 313 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed No | 67c | 29.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x281c…1dcbbacked No | 64c | 27.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…f3efbacked No | 67c | 26.73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 65c | 25.23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6b…8ffabacked No | 66c | 22.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82ad…9a2bbacked No | 67c | 21.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Paris Saint-Germain FC leading at halftime?this page
- FC Bayern München leading at halftime?No won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: Draw at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.