Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x220790e29c030356d06bb42d1e0f6b91217a5b8e041892597ce82fd17746803c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,257
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,741
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,257 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 200 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5f9…1ee3backed Yes | 3c | 2,333$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.73 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 58c | 912.3$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.76 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 71c | 757.48$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.01 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 54c | 730.3$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.09 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a35…bdc6backed Yes | 10c | 599.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.73 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd2…b7f8backed Yes | 68c | 579.97$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.72 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x143c…487ebacked Yes | 3c | 532.51$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8370…e1efbacked Yes | 40c | 499.57$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.8 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed Yes | 41c | 404.06$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.96 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…828ebacked No | 32c | 370.39$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.47 | 451 | 30.8%139 W · 312 L | +33.3wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 55c | 360.44$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.27 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…a105backed No | 54c | 342.04$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.46 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 57c | 334.83$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.18 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 76c | 312$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.92 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 40c | 309.18$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.28 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef2…faa5backed Yes | 49c | 308.61$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.34 | 428 | 49.5%212 W · 216 L | +45.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…947bbacked No | 69c | 283.71$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.38 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +17.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 57c | 268.38$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.36 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5e…40fbbacked Yes | 79c | 252$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.43 | 335 | 61.5%206 W · 129 L | -22.2wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 58c | 250$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.89 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd62a…de09backed Yes | 41c | 244.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0d…8c4dbacked Yes | 46c | 241.76$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.1 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…7a4dbacked No | 68c | 223.56$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.08 | 1,699 | 60.6%1,029 W · 670 L | -24.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…8262backed Yes | 45c | 222.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.25 | 379 | 42.2%160 W · 219 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 34c | 215.41$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.17 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4d06…b2eabacked Yes | 73c | 205.94$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.52 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4eb…69e7backed Yes | 45c | 200.03$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.99 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 71c | 190.48$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.81 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 15c | 190$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0036…df65backed Yes | 44c | 185.32$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.36 | 197 | 37.1%73 W · 124 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 55c | 179.44$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.99 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc3…3472backed No | 54c | 178.1$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.67 | 600 | 54.2%325 W · 275 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 64c | 172.95$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.68 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x515c…7587backed No | 54c | 170.45$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.16 | 196 | 48%94 W · 102 L | -11.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 34c | 164.54$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.11 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf045…c619backed Yes | 47c | 159.78$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 180 | 35.6%64 W · 116 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 7c | 145.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked No | 18c | 145.87$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.04 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4500…115dbacked Yes | 45c | 128.09$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.63 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8842…dfa7backed Yes | 34c | 127.78$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.22 | 452 | 36.5%165 W · 287 L | +20.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40d6…1935backed Yes | 62c | 125$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.15 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9321backed No | 56c | 124.05$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.66 | 1,299 | 57.5%747 W · 552 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 58c | 119.96$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 55c | 119.3$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.99 | 1,554 | 33.1%515 W · 1,039 L | -66.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x188a…9fafbacked No | 56c | 118.74$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.61 | 196 | 62.2%122 W · 74 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 63c | 116.62$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d9f…012fbacked Yes | 48c | 111.02$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.08 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd3…a457backed Yes | 46c | 110$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x261e…c09fbacked Yes | 30c | 109.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 118 | 35.6%42 W · 76 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed No | 54c | 108.33$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.45 | 287 | 37.6%108 W · 179 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x558d…b8dcbacked Yes | 33c | 107.15$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.58 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6606…0195backed Yes | 44c | 102.45$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 176 | 44.3%78 W · 98 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea2…665abacked Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 394 | 27.4%108 W · 286 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc7…6c9abacked Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a88…f471backed Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 297 | 32.3%96 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…d760backed Yes | 41c | 99.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.45 | 1,010 | 40.3%407 W · 603 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38b3…1e06backed No | 55c | 99.98$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.99 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 68c | 99.51$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 40c | 98$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.14 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed Yes | 47c | 94.72$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.21 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 32c | 94.52$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4b…f395backed Yes | 45c | 92.66$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.11 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…7efbbacked Yes | 45c | 91.5$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.14 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea7…7450backed No | 54c | 90.48$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.66 | 417 | 60.4%252 W · 165 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 63c | 89.75$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.8 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 58c | 88.61$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.88 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3636…1a57backed Yes | 40c | 85$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea21…f753backed Yes | 42c | 85$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.55 | 236 | 68.2%161 W · 75 L | +18.8wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27e9…2ea4backed Yes | 47c | 84.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 77c | 81.57$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.47 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb912…7e38backed Yes | 79c | 81.5$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 36c | 80.9$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.94 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x634d…4d02backed Yes | 40c | 79.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 127 | 47.2%60 W · 67 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…b3e4backed No | 41c | 79.73$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.02 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed7…a0fabacked Yes | 44c | 79.54$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 125 | 40%50 W · 75 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 47c | 79.42$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.14 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed Yes | 67c | 79.01$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.6 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 77c | 74.56$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.03 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x273c…9125backed No | 54c | 73$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.55 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 40c | 73$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 1,054 | 34.9%368 W · 686 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb76…de58backed Yes | 36c | 72.8$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.42 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb085…cde9backed Yes | 69c | 72.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb8…0d00backed Yes | 69c | 71.74$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 206 | 62.1%128 W · 78 L | -14.0wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8629…bdf5backed Yes | 32c | 70.42$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.77 | 128 | 32%41 W · 87 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a68…edd3backed Yes | 57c | 70.28$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 182 | 35.2%64 W · 118 L | -14.0wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e18…b3ecbacked Yes | 43c | 70.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +6.5wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe4…2a32backed Yes | 72c | 69.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd338…9fd3backed Yes | 43c | 68.5$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.35 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed Yes | 54c | 68$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.72 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8db6…8679backed Yes | 74c | 67.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cf…65d5backed No | 30c | 66.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.74 | 78 | 17.9%14 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8f…bc5cbacked Yes | 39c | 63.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.74 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed Yes | 59c | 62.02$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.89 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 38c | 61.27$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.01 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…a7e3backed No | 61c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.41 | 1,299 | 54.1%703 W · 596 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 29c | 59.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a1b…6e41backed Yes | 52c | 59.25$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.86 | 143 | 34.3%49 W · 94 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 67c | 59$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.45 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd090…3bc5backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a92…35bcbacked Yes | 32c | 58.26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.74 | 449 | 45.9%206 W · 243 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 11?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on June 11?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on June 11?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on June 11?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 11?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 11?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C or higher on June 11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.