Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9481c95fa4995a498e254db4e38e4498b5871ccfebee28205dda5c4d8305e7e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,637
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,367
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,637 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 170 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x41f6…828ebacked Yes | 66c | 3,068$2,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,055.54 | 451 | 30.8%139 W · 312 L | +33.3wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7dbf…aa75backed Yes | 20c | 1,161$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.52 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 71c | 912.3$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.13 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 42c | 798.38$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.97 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0d…8c4dbacked Yes | 36c | 550.24$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.29 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…932abacked No | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8370…e1efbacked Yes | 37c | 499.36$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.34 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 41c | 484$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.93 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 49c | 408.52$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.27 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 35c | 397.8$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.64 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 17c | 382.47$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.27 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc944…1686backed Yes | 17c | 378.94$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.39 | 345 | 33%114 W · 231 L | +20.6wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…e01dbacked Yes | 19c | 364.12$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.37 | 1,032 | 24.3%251 W · 781 L | +40.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed Yes | 72c | 360.08$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.34 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 56c | 341.66$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.52 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed Yes | 19c | 332.77$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.42 | 1,250 | 25.4%317 W · 933 L | +57.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 4c | 292.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d51…c019backed Yes | 25c | 290.75$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…74d3backed Yes | 40c | 253.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.01 | 669 | 44.7%299 W · 370 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 53c | 252.49$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.93 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7c48…6b72backed Yes | 40c | 251.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.12 | 452 | 38.5%174 W · 278 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd3…a457backed Yes | 20c | 250.75$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.09 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf045…c619backed Yes | 19c | 241.35$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.35 | 180 | 35.6%64 W · 116 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4eb…69e7backed Yes | 50c | 240.72$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.53 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf225…42e0backed No | 77c | 232.69$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.93 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed Yes | 37c | 214.99$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.29 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78ed…ab3abacked Yes | 54c | 209.57$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.05 | 402 | 26.9%108 W · 294 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 49c | 205.78$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.05 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1253…2129backed No | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea2…665abacked Yes | 29c | 200$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.53 | 394 | 27.4%108 W · 286 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca07…6269backed Yes | 29c | 200$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142 | 716 | 49.4%354 W · 362 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed Yes | 60c | 190.77$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.63 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 36c | 188.87$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.88 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 37c | 179.45$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 63c | 178.93$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.07 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed Yes | 78c | 177.73$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.9 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc3…3472backed No | 67c | 176.16$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.23 | 600 | 54.2%325 W · 275 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9c…e014backed Yes | 27c | 175.65$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.37 | 258 | 39.9%103 W · 155 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf0…d2b3backed No | 79c | 172$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.15 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.5wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -59%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 62c | 168.08$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd2…b7f8backed Yes | 33c | 166.56$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.6 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…8e3cbacked No | 79c | 166.04$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.55 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbea5…2cf0backed No | 61c | 165.26$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.81 | 253 | 58.9%149 W · 104 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf216…4844backed Yes | 31c | 160.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.44 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda58…6009backed No | 77c | 160$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.93 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x470b…c331backed No | 80c | 150.41$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.65 | 147 | 44.2%65 W · 82 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe77d…7383backed No | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.22per pick | 45cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 77c | 149$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.77 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 64c | 138.11$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.65 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 36c | 133.98$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 68c | 127.77$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.8 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x188a…9fafbacked No | 72c | 127.12$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.42 | 196 | 62.2%122 W · 74 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8db6…8679backed Yes | 16c | 126.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.44 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 25c | 119.92$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.46 | 1,554 | 33.1%515 W · 1,039 L | -66.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 66c | 119.69$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.8 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9321backed No | 71c | 118.03$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.07 | 1,299 | 57.5%747 W · 552 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8490…ac46backed Yes | 26c | 115.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.69 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 33cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4204…165abacked No | 75c | 114.94$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.85 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0036…df65backed No | 61c | 111.12$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.63 | 197 | 37.1%73 W · 124 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea7…7450backed No | 45c | 109.38$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.32 | 417 | 60.4%252 W · 165 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x879d…b501backed Yes | 28c | 100.58$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.4 | 605 | 19.7%119 W · 486 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a1…1d37backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 320 | 41.9%134 W · 186 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…947bbacked No | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.25 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +17.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc7…6c9abacked Yes | 39c | 99.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29df…aeecbacked Yes | 36c | 99.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.49 | 140 | 43.6%61 W · 79 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d9f…012fbacked Yes | 35c | 99.9$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.9 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 25c | 99.07$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…8262backed No | 71c | 98.88$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.99 | 379 | 42.2%160 W · 219 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc6…d496backed No | 52c | 98.3$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.53 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x273c…9125backed No | 11c | 96.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5c…2ee3backed Yes | 50c | 95.96$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.96 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffd…e7c6backed Yes | 48c | 92.19$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.4 | 516 | 31.6%163 W · 353 L | -29.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa99…29afbacked Yes | 39c | 91.39$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.71 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x558d…b8dcbacked Yes | 37c | 90.11$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.77 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 69c | 90$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.1 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 66c | 89.76$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.41 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 68c | 88.6$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.98 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c9e…8d54backed No | 63c | 88$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.44 | 276 | 69.2%191 W · 85 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed Yes | 68c | 86.12$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.35 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 30c | 83.92$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…a7e3backed No | 52c | 83.2$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.56 | 1,299 | 54.1%703 W · 596 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a92…35bcbacked Yes | 25c | 82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.55 | 449 | 45.9%206 W · 243 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 31c | 80.8$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.62 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d8…b90dbacked No | 69c | 80.17$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.35 | 834 | 59.8%499 W · 335 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa054…a95dbacked No | 60c | 80$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 399 | 66.2%264 W · 135 L | +33.6wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa081…e7a0backed No | 62c | 79.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.77 | 389 | 61.7%240 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed7…a0fabacked Yes | 46c | 76.08$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.08 | 125 | 40%50 W · 75 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 15c | 75.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d65…2d2bbacked Yes | 31c | 75.18$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.72 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2845…b637backed Yes | 20c | 73.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.82 | 853 | 30.7%262 W · 591 L | +28.2wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 18c | 73$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.58 | 1,054 | 34.9%368 W · 686 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…dc28backed Yes | 16c | 71.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.9 | 676 | 33.7%228 W · 448 L | +33.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 28c | 71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.38 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8629…bdf5backed Yes | 43c | 70.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.24 | 128 | 32%41 W · 87 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed No | 61c | 70$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 896 | 61.7%553 W · 343 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed Yes | 45c | 67.21$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.76 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4969…805fbacked Yes | 38c | 67$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.39 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +24%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc9…bfbcbacked No | 75c | 66.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 185 | 65.4%121 W · 64 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef6…1174backed No | 66c | 65.39$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.19per pick | 35cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x65f9…4425backed No | 80c | 62.82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 11?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on June 11?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on June 11?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on June 11?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 11?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 11?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C or higher on June 11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.