Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on June 11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3836a821f84f8926b2a9abbba6486526500b73d8ae8ef2dcf74781003e2d790d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,066
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,315
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,066 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7e18…b3ecbacked Yes | 3c | 1,185$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +6.5wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5ddb…3fa9backed Yes | 28c | 1,004$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.58 | 313 | 19.2%60 W · 253 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2868…9b6bbacked Yes | 17c | 921.48$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.67 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 78c | 886.33$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.82 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 19c | 730.46$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.77 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8370…e1efbacked Yes | 10c | 499.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f9…1ee3backed Yes | 17c | 471.5$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.22 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed Yes | 24c | 423.98$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.61 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd10…7544backed No | 69c | 387.23$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.28 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 75c | 377.08$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.45 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78ed…ab3abacked Yes | 31c | 318.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 402 | 26.9%108 W · 294 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 13c | 306.7$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.97 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…8262backed Yes | 35c | 281.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 379 | 42.2%160 W · 219 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 13c | 271.65$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.78 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c6…2b25backed Yes | 21c | 268.15$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.86 | 329 | 58.7%193 W · 136 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef2…faa5backed Yes | 17c | 262.87$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.42 | 428 | 49.5%212 W · 216 L | +45.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 6c | 258.13$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 74c | 257.21$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.9 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 74c | 249.55$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.92 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed Yes | 16c | 246.72$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.49 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 79c | 242$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.56 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 79c | 229.29$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.22 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 14c | 219.23$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c55…ddfbbacked Yes | 29c | 203.91$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 117 | 24.8%29 W · 88 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bce…24cdbacked No | 78c | 203$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 109 | 66.1%72 W · 37 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa98d…b266backed Yes | 29c | 190.17$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6897…a4a4backed Yes | 18c | 188.1$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.88 | 192 | 17.2%33 W · 159 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0036…df65backed No | 80c | 170.85$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.25 | 197 | 37.1%73 W · 124 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a88…f471backed Yes | 21c | 164.82$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.44 | 297 | 32.3%96 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed Yes | 18c | 160.32$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +20.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba95…ec86backed Yes | 13c | 158.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 24cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 17c | 156.53$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.33 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9321backed No | 78c | 137.85$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.14 | 1,299 | 57.5%747 W · 552 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ab…01cabacked Yes | 9c | 133.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 13c | 126.2$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf045…c619backed Yes | 32c | 126.19$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 180 | 35.6%64 W · 116 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc3…3472backed No | 80c | 122.6$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.67 | 600 | 54.2%325 W · 275 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea7…7450backed No | 76c | 105$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.66 | 417 | 60.4%252 W · 165 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x879d…b501backed Yes | 22c | 104.04$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.89 | 605 | 19.7%119 W · 486 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 959 | 33.5%321 W · 638 L | +28.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 19c | 98.1$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.71 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…828ebacked Yes | 22c | 96.74$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 451 | 30.8%139 W · 312 L | +33.3wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x470b…c331backed Yes | 35c | 96.22$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.28 | 147 | 44.2%65 W · 82 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff6…e4fbbacked Yes | 25c | 95.47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.77 | 653 | 53.4%349 W · 304 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1096…a162backed Yes | 11c | 93.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 475 | 38.1%181 W · 294 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…fababacked Yes | 22c | 90$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 157 | 22.9%36 W · 121 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 77c | 89.99$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 68c | 88.19$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.22 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde0f…a4e7backed Yes | 15c | 87.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 12c | 85.11$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…6d28backed Yes | 17c | 78.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Yes | 20c | 78.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 22c | 76.05$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 72c | 74.94$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 23c | 73$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 1,054 | 34.9%368 W · 686 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85e8…9d0bbacked Yes | 16c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 28c | 69.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 74c | 69.4$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.18 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 76c | 68.86$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff3e…953fbacked Yes | 19c | 63.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8842…dfa7backed Yes | 17c | 60.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 452 | 36.5%165 W · 287 L | +20.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 76c | 59.47$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.51 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x759d…cc80backed No | 77c | 55.91$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.66 | 778 | 51.9%404 W · 374 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…29e8backed Yes | 25c | 55.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6606…0195backed Yes | 40c | 50.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 176 | 44.3%78 W · 98 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…7efbbacked Yes | 37c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x515c…7587backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 196 | 48%94 W · 102 L | -11.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…7d4fbacked No | 68c | 49.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 485 | 23.7%115 W · 370 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 76c | 43.83$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.44 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d6…1935backed Yes | 38c | 43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.14 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 74c | 42.29$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed Yes | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 1,255 | 62.5%785 W · 470 L | +99.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 68c | 39$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.34 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01eb…b04abacked Yes | 34c | 38.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 74c | 31.27$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82e7…f552backed No | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 354 | 41%145 W · 209 L | -19.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8516…2a80backed No | 70c | 27.16$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 73c | 26.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.11 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b08…ab3ebacked No | 71c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.08 | 116 | 50%58 W · 58 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 70c | 23.82$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.17 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe707…e0cfbacked No | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e80…6910backed No | 76c | 19.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7615…308abacked No | 78c | 16.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.79 | 184 | 41.3%76 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 78c | 14.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.14 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe84…20e0backed No | 77c | 13.73$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.16 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on June 11?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on June 11?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on June 11?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 11?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 11?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 11?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C or higher on June 11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.