TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9a67…024e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
75
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Tennis, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 57 out of 100; worst Middle East at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT3961.5%24 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.2
Seattle Mariners vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$23.04
Seattle Mariners vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$23.04
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$12.54
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.96
Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$16
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.45
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astrosbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.02
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$10.85
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.3
New York Mets vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$13.3
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$15.99
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astrosbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$23.52
New York Mets vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$22.56
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.4
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$16.1
Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.75
San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.55
Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$27.3
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.05
Detroit Tigers vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.95
Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$13.65
San Diego Padres vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.7
Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$13.3
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.9
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1978.9%15 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick71cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump attend 1 World Cup match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$9.66
Will Julián Álvarez score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$7.04
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$9.8
Will Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$6.66
Will France reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20.8
Will Morocco reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.84
Will Canada be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$8.05
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$8.4
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+39.9%+$19.95
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$8.05
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$7.7
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.9
New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.7
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.16
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.26
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$25.52
Will Cristiano Ronaldo score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$6.72
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$6.47
Will Turkiye reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.88
All 19 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT1181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick62cpaid+122.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Draper vs. Humbert: Match O/U 23.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$16.45
Bad Homburg Open: Eva Lys vs Emma Navarrobacked Emma Navarro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$14.43
Bad Homburg Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Linda Noskovabacked Linda Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.1
Lexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: Zeynep Sonmez vs Elsa Jacquemotbacked Zeynep Sonmez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$7.25
Nottingham Open: Ann Li vs Taylah Prestonbacked Ann Li · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$7.75
Poznan: Maks Kasnikowski vs Jan Choinskibacked Jan Choinski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$9.45
Halle Open: Zizou Bergs vs Taylor Fritzbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$6.67
HSBC Championships: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Corentin Moutetbacked Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.48
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Tom Gentzschbacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$12.48
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovicbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+1,150%+$118.68
All 11 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-31.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.64
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.