TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Poznan: Maks Kasnikowski vs Jan Choinski

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Jan Choinskiof Maks Kasnikowski, Jan Choinski
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$53,523
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$62,744

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,523 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6982…a165backed Jan Choinski52c5,743$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,742.6262956.9%358 W · 271 L+0.8wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0834…b743backed Maks Kasnikowski47c3,452$1,618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,617.951942.1%8 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Jan Choinski51c3,185$1,632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,553.078,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Maks Kasnikowski26c3,143$814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$814.298,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Maks Kasnikowski65c2,992$1,932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,932.039,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a34…51fabacked Maks Kasnikowski6c1,633$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9822020%44 W · 176 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Jan Choinski65c1,160$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.0611,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9d3…079fbacked Maks Kasnikowski54c1,144$618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$617.8348855.9%273 W · 215 L-20.0wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2374…a426backed Jan Choinski58c1,032$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.9787337.1%324 W · 549 L-3.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9856…8d02backed Maks Kasnikowski18c900$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163248.3%2 W · 22 L-4.2wins-0.18per pick26cpaid-52%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Jan Choinski60c833.33$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.3311637.1%43 W · 73 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Maks Kasnikowski44c818.4$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.351,47535.2%519 W · 956 L-14.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Maks Kasnikowski16c686.77$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.711,22823.1%284 W · 944 L-164.0wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-47%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xef3a…1eb3backed Jan Choinski48c684.92$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.1617941.3%74 W · 105 L+0.6wins0.00per pick41cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa42f…5f5abacked Jan Choinski58c662.15$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.11,01039.2%396 W · 614 L-23.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Maks Kasnikowski42c599.99$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.297,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Jan Choinski67c546.72$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.833,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Maks Kasnikowski38c528.45$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.251,14247.3%540 W · 602 L+65.6wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Jan Choinski64c521.7$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.295,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6770…5bdfbacked Maks Kasnikowski34c419.13$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.8596945.9%445 W · 524 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9c9…6686backed Maks Kasnikowski30c397.97$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.051,33746%615 W · 722 L+23.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Maks Kasnikowski43c347.61$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.476,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Maks Kasnikowski42c333.52$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1405,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05dd…305cbacked Maks Kasnikowski21c328.58$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$693125.8%8 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9b5…1212backed Maks Kasnikowski21c328.57$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6930226.8%81 W · 221 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf146…d3ffbacked Jan Choinski48c312.5$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.52564%16 W · 9 L+6.1wins+0.24per pick40cpaid+55.2%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Jan Choinski58c311.7$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.378,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5803…3f3fbacked Maks Kasnikowski17c299.61$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5185348.9%417 W · 436 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Maks Kasnikowski45c295.76$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.431,62652.7%857 W · 769 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked Maks Kasnikowski42c292.31$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.651,79546.6%837 W · 958 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Maks Kasnikowski44c282.94$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.464,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Maks Kasnikowski42c247.54$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.462,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Jan Choinski50c245$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.51,03150.3%519 W · 512 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5aa…4464backed Jan Choinski57c239.07$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.9522255.4%123 W · 99 L+0.7wins0.00per pick55cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x782d…8211backed Jan Choinski60c228.66$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.4670456.8%400 W · 304 L-20.1wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Jan Choinski47c224$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.724,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Jan Choinski49c214$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.596,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Jan Choinski46c211$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.944,60248.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L+34.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Jan Choinski58c207.13$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.122,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked Maks Kasnikowski44c207$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.081,01846.8%476 W · 542 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ade…ed94backed Jan Choinski59c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$821,45854%787 W · 671 L-33.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+64.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Jan Choinski62c172$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.681,76752.1%920 W · 847 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Maks Kasnikowski45c171.62$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782,60146.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L+18.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d74…4944backed Jan Choinski60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6716469.5%114 W · 50 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x17ef…9a2cbacked Maks Kasnikowski43c148$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.6478857.1%450 W · 338 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Jan Choinski72c143.02$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.3799244.7%443 W · 549 L-29.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Maks Kasnikowski44c135.58$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.123,67754.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L+107.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Jan Choinski62c134.3$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.846,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Jan Choinski59c131.7$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.491,06242%446 W · 616 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Maks Kasnikowski44c131$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582,15137.3%802 W · 1,349 L-27.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9b2…8e7dbacked Maks Kasnikowski24c120.13$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.941643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+31.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Jan Choinski54c118.65$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.495,41648.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L+14.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Jan Choinski69c116.52$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.981,48747.5%706 W · 781 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Maks Kasnikowski46c115.44$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.171,23446.3%571 W · 663 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Jan Choinski65c115.01$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.591,45950.1%731 W · 728 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dcd…232cbacked Maks Kasnikowski18c111.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201414.3%2 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-24.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Maks Kasnikowski46c101.77$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473,22040.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L+28.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a3e…cd83backed Jan Choinski77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2344552.8%235 W · 210 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a92…6b00backed Jan Choinski77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2347651.9%247 W · 229 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Maks Kasnikowski64c98.45$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.614,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…a806backed Maks Kasnikowski52c98.41$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.1711336.3%41 W · 72 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b6b…ec86backed Maks Kasnikowski43c95.7$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411,06231.8%338 W · 724 L-27.2wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Maks Kasnikowski46c95.66$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.626,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f64…3633backed Maks Kasnikowski41c94$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.5499249.4%490 W · 502 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f1d…2fb6backed Jan Choinski57c90$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.71,55642.4%660 W · 896 L+20.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccd5…b065backed Maks Kasnikowski47c89.09$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.492035%7 W · 13 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Maks Kasnikowski41c84.74$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.743,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Maks Kasnikowski42c81.65$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.293,42439.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L-12.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fa5…3bc2backed Maks Kasnikowski33c81.55$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273447.1%16 W · 18 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Maks Kasnikowski41c81.14$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.272,46238.5%948 W · 1,514 L+93.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Jan Choinski51c78.4$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.216,44946.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L-42.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a80…d472backed Jan Choinski59c74.58$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.581,18652.4%622 W · 564 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c97…5c66backed Maks Kasnikowski42c71.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3048355.1%266 W · 217 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Maks Kasnikowski47c71$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.2272755.6%404 W · 323 L+27.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x352b…abd8backed Jan Choinski56c63$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.8116046.3%74 W · 86 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd554…06e6backed Jan Choinski80c63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid-13.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Jan Choinski77c59$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.482,11855.9%1,185 W · 933 L+40.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa461…878abacked Jan Choinski68c58.65$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.9221964.8%142 W · 77 L+10.1wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x72dd…5ea8backed Maks Kasnikowski35c57.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205054%27 W · 23 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x54d1…13f4backed Jan Choinski54c54.8$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.2173748%354 W · 383 L-1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc3b…d591backed Maks Kasnikowski44c52.27$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2319745.7%90 W · 107 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Jan Choinski74c52.22$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.53,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2750…3134backed Jan Choinski48c52.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.085349.1%26 W · 27 L-5.7wins-0.11per pick60cpaid-17.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Jan Choinski61c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.641,72552.2%901 W · 824 L-8.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf0ee…8067backed Maks Kasnikowski54c46.3$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2549955.1%275 W · 224 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Jan Choinski56c45.25$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.011,85357.7%1,069 W · 784 L+106.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+3.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Jan Choinski57c45$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.3574955.1%413 W · 336 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba1a…85febacked Jan Choinski68c44.12$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.1272651.8%376 W · 350 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6cd3…226ebacked Maks Kasnikowski43c42.98$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2923427.4%64 W · 170 L-40.1wins-0.17per pick44cpaid-48.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x7418…ab9fbacked Maks Kasnikowski62c40$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.812942.6%55 W · 74 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Maks Kasnikowski45c34.73$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.82,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe83a…8355backed Maks Kasnikowski46c32.48$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1565259.4%387 W · 265 L+31.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Maks Kasnikowski39c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.71,95943.7%857 W · 1,102 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e8a…a117backed Maks Kasnikowski47c29.21$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.849657.3%55 W · 41 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x985d…33c9backed Maks Kasnikowski43c29.05$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.491,30036.9%480 W · 820 L-34.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x50d7…f9bbbacked Maks Kasnikowski53c27.51$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.589832.7%32 W · 66 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc110…9a30backed Jan Choinski71c27.42$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.9212846.1%59 W · 69 L-0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-20.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7faf…e2b5backed Jan Choinski69c26.74$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.3620552.7%108 W · 97 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd51…ce69backed Jan Choinski69c24.26$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.5337156.3%209 W · 162 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a67…024ebacked Jan Choinski58c22.5$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.451181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick62cpaid+122.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.