Tennis · resolved market
Canadian Open, Qualification: Jacob Fearnley vs Sebastian Ofner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x81679cfadd7bc162868721e8dbc9773b357dfcc600d9bb1d0ab7072c1b0f1458
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jacob Fearnleyof Jacob Fearnley, Sebastian Ofner
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $124,976
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $144,547
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $124,976 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf377…4159backed Sebastian Ofner | 43c | 11,628$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 181 | 48.1%87 W · 94 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Jacob Fearnley | 59c | 9,980$5,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,091.66 | 365 | 44.9%164 W · 201 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Jacob Fearnley | 66c | 9,671$6,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,321.81 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Sebastian Ofner | 29c | 9,229$2,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,649.32 | 3,726 | 42.4%1,580 W · 2,146 L | -48.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sebastian Ofner | 40c | 7,789$3,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,076.74 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Jacob Fearnley | 65c | 6,070$3,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,103.25 | 2,326 | 52.1%1,213 W · 1,113 L | +85.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Jacob Fearnley | 62c | 3,500$2,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,347.5 | 2,444 | 51.3%1,254 W · 1,190 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x772b…1840backed Jacob Fearnley | 62c | 3,236$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,236.26 | 91 | 36.3%33 W · 58 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…cf15backed Sebastian Ofner | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 307 | 39.1%120 W · 187 L | +13.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Sebastian Ofner | 35c | 2,111$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.71 | 1,745 | 48.1%840 W · 905 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Sebastian Ofner | 23c | 1,829$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.46 | 2,839 | 47.2%1,340 W · 1,499 L | +38.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Jacob Fearnley | 65c | 1,673$1,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.2 | 4,602 | 67.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L | +309.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Sebastian Ofner | 42c | 1,615$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.93 | 1,206 | 49%591 W · 615 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Sebastian Ofner | 18c | 1,557$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.53 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9461…6be0backed Sebastian Ofner | 31c | 1,273$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Sebastian Ofner | 21c | 1,208$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 271 | 39.1%106 W · 165 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Jacob Fearnley | 76c | 1,166$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.54 | 3,155 | 57.2%1,806 W · 1,349 L | +176.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Jacob Fearnley | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 9,374 | 44.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L | -244.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb040…dbeabacked Sebastian Ofner | 13c | 932.98$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.88 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f17…0724backed Jacob Fearnley | 66c | 900$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 746 | 54.8%409 W · 337 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Jacob Fearnley | 75c | 751.98$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.97 | 4,760 | 49.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L | +176.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22d4…8172backed Sebastian Ofner | 14c | 680$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.2 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91b6…4b40backed Sebastian Ofner | 18c | 660.82$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 309 | 25.9%80 W · 229 L | -29.0wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…453fbacked Jacob Fearnley | 69c | 651.67$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.62 | 950 | 47.7%453 W · 497 L | +34.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Sebastian Ofner | 21c | 648.59$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.56 | 396 | 48%190 W · 206 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5a…07b6backed Jacob Fearnley | 62c | 635.71$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.57 | 254 | 40.6%103 W · 151 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x521c…f4aabacked Jacob Fearnley | 61c | 596.82$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.76 | 369 | 48.5%179 W · 190 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Sebastian Ofner | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 310 | 35.2%109 W · 201 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a4…190ebacked Jacob Fearnley | 67c | 577.36$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.53 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7932…5b38backed Jacob Fearnley | 79c | 506.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.33 | 361 | 57.1%206 W · 155 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Sebastian Ofner | 36c | 506.2$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.61 | 451 | 39%176 W · 275 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Sebastian Ofner | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 368 | 38.3%141 W · 227 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88f9…5c03backed Jacob Fearnley | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 392 | 57.7%226 W · 166 L | +17.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked Sebastian Ofner | 47c | 435.96$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.92 | 625 | 45.4%284 W · 341 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Sebastian Ofner | 40c | 375$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,198 | 52.4%628 W · 570 L | +28.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d91…40d3backed Sebastian Ofner | 14c | 342.2$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.91 | 486 | 30.9%150 W · 336 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Sebastian Ofner | 21c | 329.09$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.37 | 5,422 | 56.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L | +231.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5331…cf7cbacked Jacob Fearnley | 61c | 328.02$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.02 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17af…b7e4backed Sebastian Ofner | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 307 | 47.9%147 W · 160 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Sebastian Ofner | 34c | 275.21$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.57 | 1,371 | 38.3%525 W · 846 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bca…0552backed Jacob Fearnley | 64c | 273.84$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.58 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56fa…30cebacked Sebastian Ofner | 22c | 266.79$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 203 | 36.5%74 W · 129 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e6…4be3backed Jacob Fearnley | 67c | 243.29$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.63 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73e5…e3d8backed Sebastian Ofner | 35c | 230.73$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.63 | 335 | 50.7%170 W · 165 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…2482backed Sebastian Ofner | 43c | 223.93$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.29 | 94 | 33%31 W · 63 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Jacob Fearnley | 63c | 211.52$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.26 | 325 | 45.2%147 W · 178 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed Sebastian Ofner | 35c | 203.09$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.08 | 455 | 49.7%226 W · 229 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Jacob Fearnley | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.06 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…9256backed Sebastian Ofner | 27c | 185.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 258 | 48.4%125 W · 133 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Sebastian Ofner | 11c | 167.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.42 | 4,975 | 38.6%1,922 W · 3,053 L | -19.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Jacob Fearnley | 77c | 163.78$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.01 | 1,076 | 54.8%590 W · 486 L | +14.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Jacob Fearnley | 69c | 162.64$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.84 | 1,159 | 69%800 W · 359 L | +56.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3556…af4fbacked Sebastian Ofner | 25c | 157.84$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.66 | 277 | 24.9%69 W · 208 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37f1…19a0backed Sebastian Ofner | 16c | 147.44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.59 | 517 | 36.9%191 W · 326 L | -39.1wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc7…969bbacked Jacob Fearnley | 69c | 144.76$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.56 | 124 | 39.5%49 W · 75 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Jacob Fearnley | 74c | 135.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.94 | 1,766 | 45.9%810 W · 956 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x323e…1ddabacked Sebastian Ofner | 38c | 119.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 635 | 37.6%239 W · 396 L | +20.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Sebastian Ofner | 29c | 115$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.2 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3b…86bdbacked Jacob Fearnley | 61c | 108.2$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.2 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +95.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56f1…e83ebacked Jacob Fearnley | 57c | 102.74$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.18 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Sebastian Ofner | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 2,043 | 47.8%977 W · 1,066 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed Jacob Fearnley | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 331 | 34.7%115 W · 216 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaa…28f7backed Sebastian Ofner | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 954 | 45.5%434 W · 520 L | +22.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd770…209dbacked Sebastian Ofner | 37c | 96.34$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.35 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe999…ec00backed Jacob Fearnley | 66c | 92.33$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.39 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Sebastian Ofner | 32c | 90.28$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.79 | 431 | 44.8%193 W · 238 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Sebastian Ofner | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 134 | 35.8%48 W · 86 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda07…62a0backed Jacob Fearnley | 80c | 86.54$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.42 | 248 | 58.5%145 W · 103 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Jacob Fearnley | 61c | 85.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.54 | 7,753 | 47.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L | +39.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Sebastian Ofner | 39c | 85.43$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 992 | 55.9%555 W · 437 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Sebastian Ofner | 19c | 85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.07 | 1,459 | 50.1%731 W · 728 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Sebastian Ofner | 18c | 83.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8d…7688backed Jacob Fearnley | 68c | 75.95$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 331 | 65%215 W · 116 L | +22.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x715d…a4babacked Sebastian Ofner | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 340 | 47.6%162 W · 178 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Sebastian Ofner | 20c | 70.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 3,262 | 40.3%1,314 W · 1,948 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf3…80abbacked Jacob Fearnley | 61c | 66$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.74 | 169 | 49.7%84 W · 85 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed Sebastian Ofner | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 120 | 35.8%43 W · 77 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Jacob Fearnley | 63c | 63.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.97 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Sebastian Ofner | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 654 | 34.9%228 W · 426 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55a8…e802backed Sebastian Ofner | 32c | 59.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 363 | 42.1%153 W · 210 L | -16.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a20…d606backed Jacob Fearnley | 71c | 57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.53 | 926 | 74.6%691 W · 235 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa63d…d405backed Jacob Fearnley | 65c | 51.7$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.09 | 76 | 61.8%47 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Jacob Fearnley | 60c | 51.55$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.62 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Sebastian Ofner | 32c | 50.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 367 | 57.8%212 W · 155 L | +26.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Sebastian Ofner | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Sebastian Ofner | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 519 | 42.6%221 W · 298 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…da40backed Jacob Fearnley | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 370 | 60%222 W · 148 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f20…5d31backed Jacob Fearnley | 76c | 49.77$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.17 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb323…e253backed Sebastian Ofner | 28c | 49.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Jacob Fearnley | 60c | 49.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.79 | 1,107 | 52.8%585 W · 522 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Sebastian Ofner | 39c | 46.87$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 1,883 | 44.8%843 W · 1,040 L | +36.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Sebastian Ofner | 27c | 46.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 604 | 52.5%317 W · 287 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Jacob Fearnley | 72c | 41.04$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.63 | 2,087 | 54.1%1,130 W · 957 L | +64.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Sebastian Ofner | 41c | 39.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 1,904 | 44.1%839 W · 1,065 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03dd…49c8backed Jacob Fearnley | 62c | 34.37$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.06 | 478 | 51.5%246 W · 232 L | +17.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…3afdbacked Sebastian Ofner | 33c | 33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23df…640abacked Sebastian Ofner | 42c | 33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 488 | 58%283 W · 205 L | +24.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88a5…4572backed Jacob Fearnley | 64c | 31.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.46 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -7.4wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -23%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe21b…a8d4backed Jacob Fearnley | 61c | 31.84$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +6.2wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…206cbacked Sebastian Ofner | 37c | 31.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 856 | 37.7%323 W · 533 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Canadian Open, Qualification: Jacob Fearnley vs Sebastian Ofnerthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Fearnley vs OfnerFearnley won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.