TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Cincinnati Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Hubert Hurkacz

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hubert Hurkaczof Sho Shimabukuro, Hubert Hurkacz
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$101,336
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$106,715

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,336 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8bfe…2d74backed Hubert Hurkacz78c16,971$13,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,733.838267.1%55 W · 27 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4be6…dc20backed Sho Shimabukuro2c12,211$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.17190%0 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e88…b235backed Sho Shimabukuro25c5,606$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3808757.5%50 W · 37 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Sho Shimabukuro22c4,969$1,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,105.6511,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Sho Shimabukuro22c4,692$1,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,032.353,72642.4%1,580 W · 2,146 L-48.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xade2…e86dbacked Hubert Hurkacz77c4,212$3,243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$968.6952661.2%322 W · 204 L+1.8wins0.00per pick61cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Sho Shimabukuro23c3,766$866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$866.152,44451.3%1,254 W · 1,190 L+14.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5803…3f3fbacked Sho Shimabukuro1c2,598$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.1399148.6%482 W · 509 L+43.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+1.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Hubert Hurkacz77c2,597$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.494355.7%525 W · 418 L+22.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Sho Shimabukuro2c2,569$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.354,34152.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L+63.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4699…5051backed Sho Shimabukuro7c2,543$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1789757.9%77 W · 898 L-20.3wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-28.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Sho Shimabukuro22c2,272$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.842,20436.9%813 W · 1,391 L+39.0wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Sho Shimabukuro23c2,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46010252%53 W · 49 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x461d…db9ebacked Sho Shimabukuro2c2,000$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.995950.8%30 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Sho Shimabukuro6c1,861$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.555,00941.4%2,075 W · 2,934 L-82.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Sho Shimabukuro23c1,825$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.846543.1%28 W · 37 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e5e…7315backed Hubert Hurkacz77c1,800$1,386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4143943.6%17 W · 22 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Sho Shimabukuro10c1,524$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.531,51224.1%364 W · 1,148 L-41.1wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca64…4f43backed Hubert Hurkacz77c1,429$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.576453.1%34 W · 30 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick60cpaid+0.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3622…3facbacked Hubert Hurkacz77c1,383$1,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.078769%60 W · 27 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Sho Shimabukuro23c1,250$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.51,75449.1%862 W · 892 L+56.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Sho Shimabukuro23c1,250$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.51,70248.3%822 W · 880 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Hubert Hurkacz76c1,163$884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.533,31948.4%1,605 W · 1,714 L-52.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Hubert Hurkacz76c1,056$802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.421,04750%524 W · 523 L+37.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d26…f4f8backed Sho Shimabukuro2c1,045$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258616.3%14 W · 72 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick13cpaid+37.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Sho Shimabukuro9c789.51$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.732,88739.5%1,141 W · 1,746 L-84.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe954…1ef1backed Hubert Hurkacz76c788.33$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.210749.5%53 W · 54 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked Sho Shimabukuro11c787.05$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.61,82446.5%849 W · 975 L+20.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95c5…d5d3backed Hubert Hurkacz79c759.49$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.4960158.6%352 W · 249 L+2.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b9c…a518backed Hubert Hurkacz77c679.15$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.23844.7%17 W · 21 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfbc6…9092backed Sho Shimabukuro8c625$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5037221.5%80 W · 292 L+1.4wins0.00per pick21cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc81…e889backed Sho Shimabukuro25c611.15$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.7618142%76 W · 105 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Sho Shimabukuro23c600$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1387,10739.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L-17.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Sho Shimabukuro22c568$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.967,75347.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L+39.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dbe…7833backed Sho Shimabukuro8c562.5$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4515115.9%24 W · 127 L-10.0wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-33.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa3d1…de26backed Sho Shimabukuro11c500$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5527943.4%121 W · 158 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bd2…f868backed Hubert Hurkacz77c500$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1156165.6%40 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick65cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7932…5b38backed Hubert Hurkacz77c483.01$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.0936157.1%206 W · 155 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf184…d472backed Hubert Hurkacz77c468.16$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.689453.2%50 W · 44 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40e9…494fbacked Sho Shimabukuro3c445.31$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9156926%148 W · 421 L-23.2wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-41.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a80…d472backed Hubert Hurkacz59c423.39$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.391,19852.4%628 W · 570 L+28.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Sho Shimabukuro24c400$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9636838.3%141 W · 227 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45e4…7e20backed Hubert Hurkacz75c333.13$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.2819246.9%90 W · 102 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe06…d5d5backed Sho Shimabukuro25c330$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.52157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+52.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3556…af4fbacked Sho Shimabukuro12c312.67$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.5227724.9%69 W · 208 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f64…3633backed Sho Shimabukuro23c304.09$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.9499649.5%493 W · 503 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…f262backed Hubert Hurkacz77c266$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.184566.7%30 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b0f…b7aebacked Sho Shimabukuro24c265.5$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.7241436.7%152 W · 262 L-1.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid+6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f1d…2fb6backed Sho Shimabukuro24c250$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601,58042.3%668 W · 912 L+18.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84c3…35d4backed Sho Shimabukuro23c241.01$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.437934.2%27 W · 52 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Sho Shimabukuro8c228.16$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.119,03836.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L-196.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07aa…63bfbacked Hubert Hurkacz77c194.81$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.818360.2%50 W · 33 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a6a…56bdbacked Sho Shimabukuro23c185.92$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.3460341.1%248 W · 355 L-26.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Sho Shimabukuro23c170.27$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.995,32528.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L-21.8wins0.00per pick29cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1691…f891backed Hubert Hurkacz77c154.14$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.4527867.3%187 W · 91 L+10.9wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f76…dcc9backed Sho Shimabukuro10c121.08$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1194751.1%484 W · 463 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-13.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e8b…13e6backed Hubert Hurkacz77c110$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.311462.3%71 W · 43 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xab37…7b61backed Hubert Hurkacz77c100.09$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.026668.2%45 W · 21 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Sho Shimabukuro24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242,04347.8%977 W · 1,066 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe780…055bbacked Sho Shimabukuro21c95.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204825%12 W · 36 L+0.2wins0.00per pick25cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb8e…3dc3backed Sho Shimabukuro24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2018037.2%67 W · 113 L+10.0wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+23.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Hubert Hurkacz75c81.39$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.3553847%253 W · 285 L-20.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6feb…c082backed Sho Shimabukuro24c72.08$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.332545.2%147 W · 178 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x660c…7f7abacked Hubert Hurkacz77c64.94$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.9413449.3%66 W · 68 L-10.4wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-14.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Sho Shimabukuro42c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2124928.9%72 W · 177 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3da8…be26backed Sho Shimabukuro41c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.571045.4%322 W · 388 L-13.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2285…2aeabacked Hubert Hurkacz77c40.43$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.39761.9%60 W · 37 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc987…123abacked Sho Shimabukuro45c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181540%6 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-37.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa1d6…2dfdbacked Sho Shimabukuro25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105232.7%17 W · 35 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Sho Shimabukuro25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102,52836.2%914 W · 1,614 L-26.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57b4…da40backed Hubert Hurkacz77c38.96$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.9637060%222 W · 148 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x862f…200bbacked Hubert Hurkacz77c38.96$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.961080%8 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick75cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b25…10aabacked Sho Shimabukuro29c38.46$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0527339.2%107 W · 166 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1eb9…2e4cbacked Hubert Hurkacz77c33.77$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.7710968.8%75 W · 34 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked Hubert Hurkacz75c26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.53754.1%20 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a8e…05a4backed Hubert Hurkacz77c24.35$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.65966.1%39 W · 20 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc3d…59a0backed Hubert Hurkacz77c20.78$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.78250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x403c…7f06backed Hubert Hurkacz75c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512654.8%69 W · 57 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5483…5e9fbacked Hubert Hurkacz77c17.36$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.991154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2396…9485backed Hubert Hurkacz77c16.94$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.926346.8%123 W · 140 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x341d…2995backed Hubert Hurkacz77c15.58$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.5831161.1%190 W · 121 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x914a…9642backed Hubert Hurkacz76c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.554052.5%21 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8084…abe8backed Hubert Hurkacz77c14.29$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.291080%8 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick77cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.