Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x83970f7af66fbf85a3d33e41d1e82345774591f42892af163e3f21607d9037e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nigma Galaxyof L1ga Team, Nigma Galaxy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $100,710
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $99,023
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,710 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 69c | 32,100$22,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,861.23 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e7…6a52backed Nigma Galaxy | 59c | 15,000$8,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,150.5 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed L1ga Team | 35c | 13,714$4,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,817.36 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked L1ga Team | 30c | 11,883$3,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,570.66 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed L1ga Team | 35c | 10,251$3,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,542.01 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed L1ga Team | 41c | 9,526$3,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,899.37 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed L1ga Team | 25c | 6,861$1,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,714.96 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Nigma Galaxy | 70c | 5,000$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.99 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked L1ga Team | 32c | 3,994$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259.92 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed L1ga Team | 29c | 2,236$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.59 | 340 | 51.5%175 W · 165 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed L1ga Team | 33c | 1,800$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Nigma Galaxy | 64c | 1,655$1,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked L1ga Team | 37c | 1,574$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.3 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 65c | 1,500$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.11 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked L1ga Team | 28c | 1,400$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 66c | 1,300$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce7a…fef0backed L1ga Team | 10c | 1,239$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 191 | 45.5%87 W · 104 L | +13.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3621…2d2dbacked L1ga Team | 3c | 1,233$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.81 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +7.6wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked L1ga Team | 34c | 1,172$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.61 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4d…7a8fbacked L1ga Team | 30c | 1,163$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d2…86e7backed Nigma Galaxy | 61c | 1,128$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.14 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 74c | 1,100$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked L1ga Team | 32c | 1,050$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked L1ga Team | 32c | 937.5$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 122 | 55.7%68 W · 54 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed L1ga Team | 49c | 887.65$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.95 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Nigma Galaxy | 72c | 870.19$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.23 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed L1ga Team | 30c | 818$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.14 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0a…07c7backed L1ga Team | 32c | 817.51$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.6 | 90 | 63.3%57 W · 33 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 75c | 793.33$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.33 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked L1ga Team | 29c | 695.19$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.57 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked L1ga Team | 31c | 543.89$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.04 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed L1ga Team | 4c | 533.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked L1ga Team | 16c | 520.63$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.96 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa62b…0f85backed L1ga Team | 25c | 498.36$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 117 | 42.7%50 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Nigma Galaxy | 70c | 482.32$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.94 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed L1ga Team | 34c | 410.9$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.33 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59e2…1c55backed L1ga Team | 17c | 361.41$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.39 | 475 | 48%228 W · 247 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Nigma Galaxy | 61c | 356.4$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed L1ga Team | 40c | 350$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.52 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed L1ga Team | 20c | 328.34$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.04 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked L1ga Team | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed L1ga Team | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 480 | 54%259 W · 221 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed Nigma Galaxy | 74c | 300$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c73…750abacked L1ga Team | 28c | 298$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.44 | 163 | 28.8%47 W · 116 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86bc…efbcbacked Nigma Galaxy | 70c | 254.73$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.98 | 235 | 55.7%131 W · 104 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked L1ga Team | 33c | 254$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.91 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed L1ga Team | 32c | 250$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 479 | 51.8%248 W · 231 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce5…a07fbacked L1ga Team | 30c | 242.63$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.7 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked L1ga Team | 35c | 240.55$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.62 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x968a…3841backed L1ga Team | 46c | 232.55$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.08 | 209 | 39.2%82 W · 127 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e88…9b64backed L1ga Team | 33c | 203$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.07 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ddf…5c37backed L1ga Team | 33c | 203$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.07 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed Nigma Galaxy | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 675 | 55%371 W · 304 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Nigma Galaxy | 62c | 199.99$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.5 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed L1ga Team | 30c | 198.73$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.69 | 151 | 47.7%72 W · 79 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Nigma Galaxy | 71c | 187$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.23 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked L1ga Team | 29c | 186.36$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.44 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…3ccbbacked L1ga Team | 33c | 186$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.46 | 155 | 36.1%56 W · 99 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Nigma Galaxy | 71c | 175$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.45 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89ff…a8f2backed Nigma Galaxy | 70c | 172.56$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.56 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed L1ga Team | 32c | 168.16$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.08 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +26.0wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed L1ga Team | 36c | 161.11$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.02 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11ff…4447backed L1ga Team | 31c | 158.06$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 225 | 34.2%77 W · 148 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf67d…c986backed L1ga Team | 32c | 154.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 390 | 42.1%164 W · 226 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked L1ga Team | 27c | 148.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.79 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…cefdbacked Nigma Galaxy | 67c | 140$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked L1ga Team | 21c | 134.32$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.94 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…85c0backed Nigma Galaxy | 70c | 128.06$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.59 | 228 | 68%155 W · 73 L | +15.4wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed L1ga Team | 33c | 127$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.93 | 59 | 23.7%14 W · 45 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ea…86cabacked L1ga Team | 32c | 125$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed L1ga Team | 31c | 123$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.74 | 653 | 37.2%243 W · 410 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…fb5bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 70c | 114.29$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.29 | 99 | 64.6%64 W · 35 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed L1ga Team | 41c | 109.51$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.7 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed L1ga Team | 30c | 108.22$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.92 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9e6cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 71c | 101.29$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed L1ga Team | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 502 | 47.6%239 W · 263 L | +31.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed L1ga Team | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | +15.1wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e42…f22abacked L1ga Team | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…a695backed L1ga Team | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed L1ga Team | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 162 | 50%81 W · 81 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed L1ga Team | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae1…3769backed L1ga Team | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x238d…eb74backed L1ga Team | 31c | 92$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.28 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +5.1wins | +0.24per pick | 33cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed L1ga Team | 34c | 86$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.24 | 182 | 48.9%89 W · 93 L | +15.0wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed L1ga Team | 34c | 86$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.24 | 253 | 51.4%130 W · 123 L | +23.3wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked L1ga Team | 34c | 83.34$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.34 | 146 | 41.8%61 W · 85 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…92e1backed L1ga Team | 30c | 82.83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300d…780dbacked L1ga Team | 34c | 80$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +8.8wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9f42…1f72backed Nigma Galaxy | 65c | 80$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 318 | 65.1%207 W · 111 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed L1ga Team | 34c | 80$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | +14.8wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed Nigma Galaxy | 66c | 80$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 227 | 52.9%120 W · 107 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 76c | 78.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.69 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9c…535ebacked L1ga Team | 33c | 78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.46 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53f9…e920backed L1ga Team | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed L1ga Team | 32c | 75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed L1ga Team | 34c | 66.68$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.36 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked L1ga Team | 27c | 63.24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Nigma Galaxy | 65c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed L1ga Team | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 360 | 44.2%159 W · 201 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…262bbacked L1ga Team | 34c | 52.77$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 526 | 49.2%259 W · 267 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - 1win Essence Group BNigma Galaxy won
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 WinnerNigma Galaxy won
- Game Handicap: NGX (-1.5) vs L1ga Team (+1.5)Nigma Galaxy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.