Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - 1win Essence Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xef5022ef3edb7e2e43965ab3c5093d8de0d3503b63beac1942c7364b735bb2e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nigma Galaxyof L1ga Team, Nigma Galaxy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,768
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,468
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,768 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed L1ga Team | 23c | 3,350$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.98 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed Nigma Galaxy | 78c | 1,619$1,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.16 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Nigma Galaxy | 74c | 1,339$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.25 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked L1ga Team | 3c | 999.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 441 | 49.4%218 W · 223 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed L1ga Team | 26c | 887.96$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.09 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed L1ga Team | 26c | 799.99$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2662…3f84backed Nigma Galaxy | 74c | 675.68$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.68 | 145 | 62.1%90 W · 55 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Nigma Galaxy | 78c | 593.02$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.4 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8df…8a93backed L1ga Team | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +216.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…e183backed Nigma Galaxy | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 249 | 55.4%138 W · 111 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed L1ga Team | 25c | 371.47$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.63 | 207 | 40.1%83 W · 124 L | -14.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd037…5ea2backed L1ga Team | 27c | 333.33$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed L1ga Team | 19c | 322.64$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.66 | 361 | 38.2%138 W · 223 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2b…19a4backed L1ga Team | 11c | 269.03$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.59 | 42 | 11.9%5 W · 37 L | -9.6wins | -0.23per pick | 35cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nigma Galaxy | 75c | 260.53$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.83 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked L1ga Team | 25c | 252.21$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.03 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked L1ga Team | 26c | 249.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 171 | 33.9%58 W · 113 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed L1ga Team | 13c | 246.49$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.14 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x115a…98e1backed Nigma Galaxy | 74c | 236.49$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.49 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86bc…efbcbacked Nigma Galaxy | 76c | 213.87$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.37 | 235 | 55.7%131 W · 104 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 74c | 209$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.34 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…4500backed L1ga Team | 16c | 208.13$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked L1ga Team | 27c | 203.7$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 268 | 43.7%117 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked L1ga Team | 24c | 200$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.77 | 669 | 47.1%315 W · 354 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…34d0backed L1ga Team | 5c | 182.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…1811backed L1ga Team | 22c | 176$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.74 | 318 | 35.8%114 W · 204 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 74c | 155$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.3 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9fb…f9d1backed L1ga Team | 12c | 140$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 162 | 40.7%66 W · 96 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x758f…dfb7backed Nigma Galaxy | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 346 | 67.9%235 W · 111 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae16…7111backed Nigma Galaxy | 74c | 102$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Nigma Galaxy | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed L1ga Team | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 408 | 44.1%180 W · 228 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Nigma Galaxy | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 253 | 48.6%123 W · 130 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Nigma Galaxy | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 378 | 32.5%123 W · 255 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…cefdbacked Nigma Galaxy | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Nigma Galaxy | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cc…893cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 75c | 98.2$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 243 | 43.6%106 W · 137 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 74c | 91.71$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.84 | 174 | 52.3%91 W · 83 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f90…a39fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 74c | 77.73$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.21 | 145 | 63.4%92 W · 53 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Nigma Galaxy | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe56a…2ba5backed Nigma Galaxy | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 40cpaid | +132.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb6…bddfbacked Nigma Galaxy | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x417f…4f23backed L1ga Team | 25c | 52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8616…3bb0backed Nigma Galaxy | 74c | 51.35$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc209…7924backed Nigma Galaxy | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 507 | 57.4%291 W · 216 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked L1ga Team | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 107 | 28%30 W · 77 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked L1ga Team | 25c | 46.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed L1ga Team | 23c | 43.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x214a…d34bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf815…4f3ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 274 | 66.4%182 W · 92 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2a…b7b5backed Nigma Galaxy | 74c | 37.03$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.63 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x953e…79ffbacked Nigma Galaxy | 70c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 280 | 50%140 W · 140 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa5…05bbbacked Nigma Galaxy | 77c | 18.83$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.33 | 133 | 59.4%79 W · 54 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e53…5c9dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 74c | 14.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.86 | 96 | 68.8%66 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nigma Galaxy | 77c | 14.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.31 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - 1win Essence Group Bthis page
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 WinnerNigma Galaxy won
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 WinnerNigma Galaxy won
- Game Handicap: NGX (-1.5) vs L1ga Team (+1.5)Nigma Galaxy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.