Bundesliga · resolved market
Will SV Darmstadt 98 win on 2026-05-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa026627a9b41e0f37de15048068ab1ba6a3b3ce08fe6641f1bf26d97260ca396
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,034
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,739
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,034 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83d2…d196backed No | 67c | 14,561$9,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,805.01 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 42c | 11,907$5,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000.93 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed Yes | 36c | 10,500$3,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,729.94 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 59c | 9,899$5,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,054.61 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 33c | 9,588$3,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,163.99 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 64c | 5,220$3,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,860.29 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 66c | 2,239$1,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.98 | 208 | 45.7%95 W · 113 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 65c | 2,233$1,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.35 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 65c | 1,853$1,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.92 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 30c | 1,571$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 47c | 1,523$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.62 | 143 | 15.4%22 W · 121 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 33c | 1,520$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.6 | 172 | 47.1%81 W · 91 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 33c | 1,500$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.99 | 157 | 42%66 W · 91 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 65c | 1,343$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.04 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15f3…c9d2backed Yes | 36c | 839.99$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.4 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.35per pick | 46cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 35c | 791.43$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Yes | 34c | 714$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.76 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes | 33c | 648.48$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.54 | 271 | 38.4%104 W · 167 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Yes | 37c | 643.95$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.22 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 67c | 617.13$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.45 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 34c | 600$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 194 | 58.2%113 W · 81 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 24c | 592.5$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.24 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x012a…c01dbacked Yes | 53c | 482.96$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.4 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Yes | 36c | 416.67$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 175 | 49.1%86 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a7…e5d4backed Yes | 36c | 379.1$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.22 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Yes | 35c | 358$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.3 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Yes | 37c | 346.02$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.39 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked No | 64c | 230.34$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.92 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59b4…73e0backed Yes | 54c | 222.22$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -4.3wins | -0.20per pick | 39cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5392…d2ecbacked Yes | 40c | 219.99$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.99 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 28cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4497…d5a3backed Yes | 37c | 216.22$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86f8…1655backed Yes | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb475…978cbacked Yes | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…cfdebacked No | 48c | 185.2$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.3 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 32c | 173.49$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.95 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed No | 62c | 170.9$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.93 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…1639backed Yes | 21c | 166.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 58c | 154.48$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.15 | 264 | 45.5%120 W · 144 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4662…4d26backed Yes | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked No | 74c | 135.43$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.43 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -7.5wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae3…cd3bbacked Yes | 58c | 134.48$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2af…3880backed Yes | 42c | 126.09$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.56 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…57afbacked Yes | 30c | 124.59$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Yes | 43c | 118.09$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 105 | 32.4%34 W · 71 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Yes | 34c | 114$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.76 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 39c | 103.81$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 271 | 42.8%116 W · 155 L | +18.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a7…f2b7backed Yes | 29c | 103.53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +6.0wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9f…2ca3backed No | 66c | 101$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.34 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7053…25e4backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d2…3287backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90c9…1027backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 346 | 55.5%192 W · 154 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 33c | 99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.67 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Yes | 33c | 98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.34 | 185 | 54.1%100 W · 85 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked No | 58c | 97$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.74 | 146 | 52.7%77 W · 69 L | +11.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf396…9d48backed Yes | 33c | 90.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.82 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 28c | 85.62$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Yes | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13e6…5f75backed Yes | 34c | 81.84$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 65c | 78.12$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.34 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Yes | 53c | 70$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.1 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 31c | 64.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 531 | 40.7%216 W · 315 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 20c | 62.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 288 | 22.6%65 W · 223 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 35c | 60.25$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.09 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 65c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 32c | 54.21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.35 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…829fbacked Yes | 33c | 54.05$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -6.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 65c | 46.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.33 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 30c | 45.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 45c | 43.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.1 | 407 | 44.5%181 W · 226 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…860fbacked Yes | 47c | 42.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 34c | 41.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 386 | 46.9%181 W · 205 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 67c | 40.58$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.39 | 117 | 62.4%73 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked Yes | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x489f…8e1ebacked Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ab…a1bfbacked Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x129b…190abacked Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 61c | 36.67$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.33 | 398 | 57.5%229 W · 169 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a9…0c9abacked Yes | 52c | 31.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x396d…2fd2backed No | 64c | 31.01$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed No | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Yes | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x352b…abd8backed Yes | 36c | 28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa7…303dbacked No | 61c | 26.69$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Yes | 59c | 26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked No | 64c | 25.66$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 64c | 24.11$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4436…cf98backed No | 67c | 23.66$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.81 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee11…19a9backed Yes | 47c | 22.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 67c | 19.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5262…ea0abacked No | 67c | 19.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked No | 60c | 17.05$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…772abacked No | 66c | 15.26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed No | 70c | 15.04$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.54 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SV Darmstadt 98 win on 2026-05-10?this page
- Will SC Preußen Münster vs. SV Darmstadt 98 end in a draw?Yes won
- Will SC Preußen Münster win on 2026-05-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.