TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Bundesliga · resolved market

Will SV Darmstadt 98 win on 2026-05-10?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$76,034
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$73,739

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,034 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x83d2…d196backed No67c14,561$9,756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,805.016453.1%34 W · 30 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes42c11,907$5,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,000.9316045%72 W · 88 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52ed…8db7backed Yes36c10,500$3,730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,729.941330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-40.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No59c9,899$5,845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,054.613,28442.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L-74.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes33c9,588$3,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,163.991,35550.9%690 W · 665 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No64c5,220$3,359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,860.2969851.9%362 W · 336 L+22.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No66c2,239$1,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$771.9820845.7%95 W · 113 L-16.2wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-21.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No65c2,233$1,441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$792.3555058.7%323 W · 227 L+23.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes38c2,000$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76010641.5%44 W · 62 L+6.2wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No65c1,853$1,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.921,68145.2%759 W · 922 L+6.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes30c1,571$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4652,53839.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L-8.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No47c1,523$713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$809.6214315.4%22 W · 121 L-8.0wins-0.06per pick21cpaid-31.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes33c1,520$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.617247.1%81 W · 91 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Yes33c1,500$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.9915742%66 W · 91 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No65c1,343$873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.047255.6%40 W · 32 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x15f3…c9d2backed Yes36c839.99$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.4911.1%1 W · 8 L-3.1wins-0.35per pick46cpaid-79.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x660d…56acbacked Yes35c791.43$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2779043.3%39 W · 51 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a93…c3eabacked Yes34c714$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.76540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-20.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes33c648.48$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.5427138.4%104 W · 167 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x19e5…dd71backed Yes37c643.95$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.2250%0 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No67c617.13$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.4564043.9%281 W · 359 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes34c600$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20419458.2%113 W · 81 L+9.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+28%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes24c592.5$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.244949%24 W · 25 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x012a…c01dbacked Yes53c482.96$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.41827.8%5 W · 13 L-3.7wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-29.2%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Yes36c416.67$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15017549.1%86 W · 89 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a7…e5d4backed Yes36c379.1$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.221145.5%5 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Yes35c358$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.315747.1%74 W · 83 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5663…f2e5backed Yes37c346.02$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.3950%0 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes54c277.78$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15019055.3%105 W · 85 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked No64c230.34$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.925846.6%27 W · 31 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x59b4…73e0backed Yes54c222.22$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202119%4 W · 17 L-4.3wins-0.20per pick39cpaid-45.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5392…d2ecbacked Yes40c219.99$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.99812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick28cpaid-33.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4497…d5a3backed Yes37c216.22$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801520%3 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-54.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x86f8…1655backed Yes53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1063458.8%20 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb475…978cbacked Yes39c200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782532%8 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-32.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0633…cfdebacked No48c185.2$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.33467.6%23 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes32c173.49$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.951,01344.5%451 W · 562 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e7f…a844backed No62c170.9$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.933557.1%20 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4676…1639backed Yes21c166.67$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354134.1%14 W · 27 L-4.1wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-24.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No58c154.48$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.1526445.5%120 W · 144 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4662…4d26backed Yes35c142.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked No74c135.43$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.435440.7%22 W · 32 L-7.5wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-19.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5ae3…cd3bbacked Yes58c134.48$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2af…3880backed Yes42c126.09$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.563033.3%10 W · 20 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-40.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd035…57afbacked Yes30c124.59$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383452.9%18 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9b5…1212backed Yes43c118.09$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5110532.4%34 W · 71 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-13.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Yes34c114$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.765648.2%27 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Yes39c103.81$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4027142.8%116 W · 155 L+18.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+17.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb1a7…f2b7backed Yes29c103.53$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302962.1%18 W · 11 L+6.0wins+0.21per pick41cpaid+48.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xbc9f…2ca3backed No66c101$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.34560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4572…47e7backed Yes35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-35.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7053…25e4backed Yes35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7d2…3287backed Yes50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502035%7 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick26cpaid+59.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363951.3%20 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90c9…1027backed Yes36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-34.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5334655.5%192 W · 154 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes33c99$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.671,08350.8%550 W · 533 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Yes33c98$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.3418554.1%100 W · 85 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked No58c97$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.7414652.7%77 W · 69 L+11.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504963.3%31 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf396…9d48backed Yes33c90.36$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.82425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed Yes28c85.62$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.126640.9%27 W · 39 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-17.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd12f…e80dbacked Yes30c83.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253450%17 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13e6…5f75backed Yes34c81.84$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No65c78.12$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.3462452.6%328 W · 296 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Yes53c70$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.111748.7%57 W · 60 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes31c64.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7253140.7%216 W · 315 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes20c62.64$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4628822.6%65 W · 223 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes35c60.25$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0938748.3%187 W · 200 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked No65c60$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213167.7%21 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes32c54.21$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3563645.1%287 W · 349 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b67…829fbacked Yes33c54.05$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.846937.7%26 W · 43 L-6.3wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed No65c46.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.338158%47 W · 34 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes30c45.97$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5827554.9%151 W · 124 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No45c43.96$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.140744.5%181 W · 226 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…860fbacked Yes47c42.66$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201844.4%8 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-24.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes34c41.03$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7638646.9%181 W · 205 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked No67c40.58$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3911762.4%73 W · 44 L+6.5wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7181…1b0abacked Yes38c39.47$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154454.5%24 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x489f…8e1ebacked Yes53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49ab…a1bfbacked Yes54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x129b…190abacked Yes54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No61c36.67$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.3339857.5%229 W · 169 L+20.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc5a9…0c9abacked Yes52c31.25$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.251668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+17%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x396d…2fd2backed No64c31.01$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.012100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6684…95d1backed No65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.772560%15 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b7f…7aecbacked Yes41c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.33441.2%14 W · 20 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x352b…abd8backed Yes36c28$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.08633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-25%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3aa7…303dbacked No61c26.69$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.294070%28 W · 12 L+4.0wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+22.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Yes59c26$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.343438.2%13 W · 21 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid+10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaedd…ad5bbacked No64c25.66$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.242755.6%15 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed No64c24.11$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.6812346.3%57 W · 66 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4436…cf98backed No67c23.66$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.811963.2%12 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee11…19a9backed Yes47c22.83$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.712254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2463…f5b5backed Yes54c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.85563.6%35 W · 20 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked No67c19.57$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.465653.6%30 W · 26 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5262…ea0abacked No67c19.11$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27b1…6a0bbacked No60c17.05$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.824461.4%27 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc56b…772abacked No66c15.26$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.191376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick66cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed No70c15.04$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.546752.2%35 W · 32 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.