Serie A · resolved market
Will Torino FC win on 2026-05-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x809ea43899c8123c18c5897e764ee64e7894329894893f96692e9296f1711f30
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,322
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,402
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,322 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5d0c…bcebbacked No | 77c | 12,000$9,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,760 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 23c | 4,532$1,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,047.24 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 23c | 3,120$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.61 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes | 26c | 1,923$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 23c | 1,918$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.13 | 404 | 47.3%191 W · 213 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed No | 72c | 1,667$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.67 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes | 24c | 1,550$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 26c | 1,252$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.36 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 77c | 896.46$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.19 | 326 | 50.6%165 W · 161 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…57b8backed Yes | 24c | 833.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -4.6wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb888…ccfdbacked Yes | 25c | 739.62$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.9 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes | 14c | 717.43$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 24c | 679.17$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163 | 127 | 31.5%40 W · 87 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Yes | 15c | 673.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +7.2wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 76c | 592.16$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.12 | 210 | 58.6%123 W · 87 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 27c | 572.45$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.34 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 8c | 542.03$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.99 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked No | 75c | 460$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 77c | 367.47$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.07 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7065…5292backed Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 24c | 322.2$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.33 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed No | 72c | 320.83$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.83 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 75c | 319.88$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.97 | 364 | 56.3%205 W · 159 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 24c | 300$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…f9e5backed Yes | 24c | 267.72$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +7.4wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Yes | 7c | 257.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked No | 75c | 253.2$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.3 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…fdc0backed Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 9c | 249.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.34 | 262 | 41.2%108 W · 154 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes | 23c | 228.26$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 215 | 48.4%104 W · 111 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc936…c08abacked Yes | 26c | 226.92$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed No | 72c | 219.71$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.52 | 138 | 39.9%55 W · 83 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81be…a441backed No | 76c | 200$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.58 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 75c | 194$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 152 | 59.9%91 W · 61 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 74c | 190.92$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.64 | 227 | 43.2%98 W · 129 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…1204backed No | 77c | 189.18$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.18 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +73.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4c22…0c2cbacked Yes | 29c | 163.52$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.42 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 76c | 138.52$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.58 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…3203backed Yes | 24c | 136.1$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.66 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed No | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 133 | 66.2%88 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…ab23backed Yes | 16c | 119.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes | 25c | 113.73$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Yes | 15c | 107.12$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec3e…11c0backed Yes | 24c | 104$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked No | 73c | 103.78$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.02 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 72c | 100.74$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.71 | 418 | 54.8%229 W · 189 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd751…0fedbacked Yes | 25c | 100.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d8…073dbacked No | 76c | 96.91$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.26 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13ad…241bbacked Yes | 25c | 91.25$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.81 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +49%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 74c | 86.81$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.57 | 141 | 59.6%84 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 16c | 77.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 162 | 19.1%31 W · 131 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9bc…b282backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 24c | 67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 419 | 43.9%184 W · 235 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Yes | 24c | 58.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Yes | 25c | 57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 25c | 57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 397 | 40.6%161 W · 236 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9f…8e23backed Yes | 27c | 52.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 153 | 54.2%83 W · 70 L | +11.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed No | 76c | 40.55$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +5.2wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed Yes | 26c | 40.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 78c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 217 | 48.8%106 W · 111 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80da…2086backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed No | 76c | 38.4$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.22 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 74c | 34.04$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.85 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…251fbacked No | 76c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 50 | 76%38 W · 12 L | +7.3wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0cad…5dd0backed No | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 73cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed No | 76c | 24.84$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.96 | 134 | 47.8%64 W · 70 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 74c | 23.85$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 71cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc942…a8a1backed No | 73c | 15.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.19 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5262…ea0abacked No | 77c | 15.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.51 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 71cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Torino FC win on 2026-05-02?this page
- Will Udinese Calcio vs. Torino FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-05-02?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.