Premier League · resolved market
Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2025-12-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf3003ced4845d02d54353ed52987a31ef2ca02979b8d9cfd5ac3391027a210a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $91,352
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $92,853
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,352 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 46c | 35,000$16,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,900 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x869b…c625backed Yes | 47c | 32,660$15,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,329.07 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +35%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 54c | 31,369$16,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,939.22 | 211 | 54.5%115 W · 96 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 53c | 9,940$5,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,268.2 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 55c | 6,520$3,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,588.98 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 53c | 5,715$3,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,030.05 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 47c | 4,641$2,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,460.46 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 48c | 3,253$1,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,554.74 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 53c | 3,226$1,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,721.68 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590 | 466 | 51.9%242 W · 224 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 6c | 2,803$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.3 | 202 | 39.6%80 W · 122 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 16c | 2,250$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.07 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 53c | 1,364$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.79 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62d1…c018backed No | 56c | 603.13$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.75 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.27per pick | 64cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked No | 55c | 600$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.46 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked No | 53c | 570$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.1 | 149 | 43%64 W · 85 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 54c | 313.54$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.4 | 401 | 50.1%201 W · 200 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae5…f51dbacked Yes | 45c | 285.22$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.87 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked No | 54c | 271.17$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.43 | 150 | 49.3%74 W · 76 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 5c | 261$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 63c | 253.51$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.59 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 55c | 237$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.35 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed No | 52c | 229.17$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.17 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed No | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 49 | 2%1 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 8cpaid | -86.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66fe…e123backed Yes | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 48c | 197.92$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.92 | 495 | 44.2%219 W · 276 L | -20.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae9…74acbacked No | 13c | 186.84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…ec91backed No | 54c | 150$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bda…b7bbbacked No | 55c | 110$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 45c | 106.43$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.01 | 584 | 45.9%268 W · 316 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 28c | 104.41$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.2 | 232 | 20.7%48 W · 184 L | -12.5wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked No | 53c | 103$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.59 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 293 | 43.7%128 W · 165 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 53c | 79.05$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.89 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 54c | 75$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 227 | 64.8%147 W · 80 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Yes | 46c | 70.94$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.12 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc040…b15fbacked No | 56c | 70$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed No | 54c | 63$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.79 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 46c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 126 | 47.6%60 W · 66 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5681…b253backed No | 56c | 57.14$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 68cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d8…bf10backed Yes | 46c | 57$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa548…1fd5backed No | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d34…9c71backed Yes | 46c | 53$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd354…71e3backed No | 56c | 51.7$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.95 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked No | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 143 | 42.7%61 W · 82 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddd1…2739backed Yes | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa973…f639backed Yes | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3e…7fccbacked Yes | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.15 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd628…c85dbacked No | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -4.8wins | -0.19per pick | 45cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed Yes | 44c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2025-12-20?this page
- Will Charlton Athletic FC vs. Oxford United FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Oxford United FC win on 2025-12-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.