TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-02-21?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$128,746
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$173,158

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $128,746 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb726…0664backed Yes67c16,410$11,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,379.07366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No38c10,448$4,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,008.041,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No79c7,342$5,797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,796.8452550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No33c5,055$1,691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,690.5118847.9%90 W · 98 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No78c5,000$3,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,899.9714346.9%67 W · 76 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No78c4,293$3,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,339.521143.1%91 W · 120 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd303…b09bbacked No80c4,000$3,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,180250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid+4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes21c3,050$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,409.510521.9%23 W · 82 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes19c1,917$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,550.2471140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No39c1,863$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$729.6748649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa555…d816backed Yes68c1,633$1,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.622100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f9e…4c57backed Yes2c1,528$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,497.111921.1%4 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick25cpaid+203%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes21c1,500$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,18517329.5%51 W · 122 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+15.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed No36c1,347$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.8815048.7%73 W · 77 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No78c1,302$1,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,016.9838056.6%215 W · 165 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes6c1,294$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,222.1445233.6%152 W · 300 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x43a1…2425backed Yes20c1,110$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$890.482540%10 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+34.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0cb1…5286backed Yes9c1,000$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9103740.5%15 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid+6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed No77c1,000$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7705745.6%26 W · 31 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f3e…41c9backed No13c996.97$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.8420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes20c983$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782.834841.7%20 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No34c859.33$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.1737638.8%146 W · 230 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes21c807$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.5315455.2%85 W · 69 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No30c768.61$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.3362648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked No38c532.44$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x476b…30a0backed No31c521.38$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.53633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-39.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No33c500$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16611916.8%20 W · 99 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick21cpaid+14%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3bcf…402abacked Yes3c500$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4874316.3%7 W · 36 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick20cpaid+29%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa69a…3360backed Yes4c500$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4801315.4%2 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick10cpaid+119.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0176…ff71backed No27c500$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-41.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No78c500$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39027049.6%134 W · 136 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes31c496.1$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.131,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed No27c485.65$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.952934.5%10 W · 19 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick26cpaid-6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No78c423.66$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.6912957.4%74 W · 55 L+13.5wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+35.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa6b4…e861backed Yes67c419.87$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.93366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid+8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06a2…8015backed Yes68c419.5$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.482100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No79c407$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.5324044.2%106 W · 134 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes7c403.72$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.6117251.2%88 W · 84 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2d9…f193backed Yes7c362.72$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.721741.2%7 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick32cpaid+41.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfec0…aeb9backed No79c332.91$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2631330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9c4…5992backed No80c311.25$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24910%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes21c300$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23710838%41 W · 67 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked No77c300$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2314365.1%28 W · 15 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+24.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x76ca…6a3abacked Yes22c272.73$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.73580%4 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.48per pick32cpaid+174.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd4c3…60d9backed Yes22c227.27$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.276446.9%30 W · 34 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x981f…8993backed Yes22c227.27$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.27425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid+13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Yes22c227.27$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.274332.6%14 W · 29 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes62c220.1$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.6515071.3%107 W · 43 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+11.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes19c212.28$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.3435037.7%132 W · 218 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6aa…8882backed Yes9c211.11$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.113912.8%5 W · 34 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick22cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Yes72c210.51$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.024667.4%31 W · 15 L+6.3wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+16.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No34c200$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6813246.2%61 W · 71 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1f0…6fb4backed No79c200$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1581752.9%9 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf08…dea4backed No62c199.51$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.7540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd265…a7ecbacked No25c198$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.51136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid+27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed No20c195.35$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.282630.8%8 W · 18 L-4.0wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-45.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe428…f37ebacked Yes16c158.39$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.39250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick13cpaid+216.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9154…8f2dbacked No34c150$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.855435.2%19 W · 35 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66e1…8720backed Yes66c137.58$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.813100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x595d…c131backed No78c133$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.74580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+70%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes20c131.82$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.4428448.2%137 W · 147 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No40c124.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.0220232.7%66 W · 136 L-10.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed No38c117.39$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.117138%27 W · 44 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes22c109.44$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.7513844.2%61 W · 77 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f6e…8024backed Yes12c101.73$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.88per pick12cpaid+762.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x386b…6d36backed No25c99.19$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8820%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No79c95.95$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.82152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x819f…70bcbacked Yes22c85$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.31030%3 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid+22.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes12c84.21$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.212860.7%17 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+28.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb089…a271backed No37c80.3$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.592860.7%17 W · 11 L+4.8wins+0.17per pick44cpaid+46.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed No79c80.15$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.327946.8%37 W · 42 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No78c80$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.429949.8%149 W · 150 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb881…20a1backed Yes66c72.78$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.782842.9%12 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-29.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes64c70$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.923847.4%18 W · 20 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No50c69.09$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.4526040.4%105 W · 155 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-33.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x00b4…13b4backed No78c67.94$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked No78c64.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5026550.6%134 W · 131 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb196…33d5backed No80c60$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.829661.5%59 W · 37 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x073e…cf8bbacked Yes22c59.18$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.16887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.23per pick65cpaid+65.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd306…4320backed Yes20c51.6$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.285529.1%16 W · 39 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked No40c50.72$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.39863.3%62 W · 36 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb7bd…616cbacked No80c50$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.754537.8%17 W · 28 L-4.8wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-17.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed No80c50$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7518245.6%83 W · 99 L-9.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd591…8363backed No80c49.69$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.75366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick79cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Yes22c47$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.6613144.3%58 W · 73 L-0.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d54…81a1backed No33c45.76$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.052948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc20…ec44backed No37c45.41$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes67c44.91$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.916342.9%27 W · 36 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf5a…bf0abacked Yes74c40.6$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.61080%8 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No79c38$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.023554.3%19 W · 16 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4865…904dbacked No79c36.3$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.681450%7 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-25.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x85c6…367dbacked No36c36.08$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.02944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f42…7d52backed Yes71c35.21$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.21757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes53c32.32$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1935650.6%180 W · 176 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8d4…3691backed No80c31.25$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252951.7%15 W · 14 L-3.7wins-0.13per pick64cpaid-26.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xea72…d821backed No80c30.23$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.18666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick75cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a0c…9db8backed No78c30$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.440%0 W · 4 L-2.4wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9d49…5ecebacked No35c30$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55e8…baaabacked Yes68c25.24$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.15250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-26.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed No74c24$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7627244.9%122 W · 150 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.