Mls · resolved market
Will San Diego FC win on 2025-11-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a4fb2ae3f84c9db7c2b17528a6ad163487ecc82ca727c60e0048621c61284e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,137
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,185
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,137 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 60c | 20,000$12,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,000 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc16b…8404backed Yes | 40c | 19,539$7,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,815.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Yes | 38c | 15,000$5,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,699.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 66c | 14,043$9,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,820.4 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 40c | 6,789$2,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,694.16 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed No | 60c | 3,818$2,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,527.05 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 62c | 3,600$2,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,368 | 153 | 41.2%63 W · 90 L | -14.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -24%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa0…09b4backed Yes | 8c | 2,131$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 7c | 2,067$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.44 | 413 | 39%161 W · 252 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed No | 60c | 1,300$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 60c | 1,091$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.87 | 215 | 45.1%97 W · 118 L | -20.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x12e2…36b0backed Yes | 39c | 1,036$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 62c | 946.48$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.66 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | -10.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -43%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…39fcbacked Yes | 39c | 909.09$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35b7…c701backed Yes | 16c | 755.79$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 9c | 739$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.65 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…1081backed Yes | 42c | 595.24$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08be…5b1fbacked Yes | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Yes | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe70d…f3efbacked Yes | 40c | 396$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc406…04bebacked Yes | 40c | 390$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 4c | 364.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.09 | 263 | 45.2%119 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf54b…c340backed No | 61c | 281$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68f…3211backed Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 18c | 212$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.63 | 206 | 41.3%85 W · 121 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb20…013ebacked No | 60c | 201$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…b30abacked No | 60c | 197$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…a780backed Yes | 40c | 196.93$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.77 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92d5…cb83backed No | 60c | 195$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4549…7cefbacked No | 60c | 193$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3292…0268backed Yes | 39c | 143$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80c7…e50ebacked Yes | 39c | 138$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f2…4230backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed No | 68c | 120.1$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 39c | 108.37$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.6 | 477 | 48.2%230 W · 247 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 76c | 81.86$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.68 | 395 | 67.1%265 W · 130 L | +60.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked Yes | 37c | 80.27$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd17e…0868backed No | 64c | 79$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9698…de01backed Yes | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…f7aabacked Yes | 40c | 74.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20b…502cbacked No | 61c | 61$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Yes | 25c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x817a…0a90backed Yes | 26c | 49.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 59c | 49.32$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.22 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…5891backed Yes | 47c | 42.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed No | 62c | 35.1$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.18 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.6wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8992…4c76backed No | 61c | 32.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…a98bbacked No | 61c | 29.51$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcad…0a68backed No | 64c | 24.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.77 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed No | 75c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.31 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d3…432abacked No | 63c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will San Diego FC win on 2025-11-29?this page
- Will San Diego FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2025-11-29?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.