Mls · resolved market
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2025-11-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x19df78f79b4099339f1ca4382fa2a0f8da797643eff68b984636ac5695528e8e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,459
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,336
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,459 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 52c | 7,312$3,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,818.41 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab0e…4b76backed Yes | 35c | 2,781$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,807.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 36c | 2,767$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,759.35 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 23c | 1,982$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.84 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 22c | 1,310$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.76 | 263 | 45.2%119 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 17c | 1,296$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.13 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d94…40e6backed No | 19c | 1,050$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 65c | 627.55$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.53 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 59c | 592.63$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.74 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed Yes | 37c | 540.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.99 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44bc…c53ebacked Yes | 34c | 500$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 61c | 500$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 153 | 41.2%63 W · 90 L | -14.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -24%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5080…a4d3backed Yes | 33c | 411$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed No | 4c | 333$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +18.7wins | +0.19per pick | 26cpaid | +97.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9776…fc56backed Yes | 35c | 255.65$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.65 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80c7…e50ebacked No | 67c | 213$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3292…0268backed No | 67c | 198$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 22c | 194$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.68 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 14c | 186.35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.26 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | -10.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -43%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 35c | 153.46$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.75 | 56 | 26.8%15 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 62c | 150$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 395 | 67.1%265 W · 130 L | +60.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…e5b8backed Yes | 35c | 143.01$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.01 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35b7…c701backed Yes | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 63c | 142.72$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.37 | 215 | 45.1%97 W · 118 L | -20.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4caf…6de9backed Yes | 36c | 139.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.13 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd88f…8d2cbacked Yes | 35c | 113.44$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.44 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…808abacked Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.39per pick | 47cpaid | +74%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc11e…75c8backed Yes | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed No | 67c | 74.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 65c | 62.43$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.58 | 477 | 48.2%230 W · 247 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce04…9496backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 56cpaid | +62%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64e0…61dbbacked Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x660c…0645backed Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +126.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Yes | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed No | 21c | 48.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed No | 61c | 45.95$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.97 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed No | 44c | 43.51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.6wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7e…425ebacked Yes | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4c…b2cbbacked Yes | 37c | 37.84$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa570…8c4fbacked No | 70c | 28.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcad…0a68backed No | 66c | 24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2025-11-29?this page
- Will San Diego FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC end in a draw?No won
- Will San Diego FC win on 2025-11-29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.