Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. SK Brann end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x90ac801c1c836014e81f40358533d19bbdfaa0b89604b1dc4bf2a2703c7a7a4a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,408
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,443
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,408 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed No | 58c | 2,478$1,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.59 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 30c | 1,952$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.6 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 75c | 1,874$1,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.01 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 16c | 808.85$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.4 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 68c | 542.42$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.15 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 29c | 504.03$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.06 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69a6…7a2cbacked Yes | 30c | 354.23$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.27 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 46c | 331.55$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.92 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes | 33c | 314.81$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.89 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed No | 66c | 304$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.36 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 67cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…9838backed Yes | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…540bbacked Yes | 28c | 258$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.24 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Yes | 16c | 255.22$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.74 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 200 | 56.5%113 W · 87 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed No | 72c | 180.56$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.56 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 30c | 177.57$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.58 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81ab…ba97backed No | 71c | 175.14$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.54 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 70c | 173$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.9 | 180 | 49.4%89 W · 91 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a85…4f81backed No | 68c | 172$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 42c | 164.87$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.35 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Yes | 27c | 164$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.28 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes | 29c | 155.17$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Yes | 29c | 142$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.55 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Yes | 11c | 120$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…4599backed Yes | 29c | 105.75$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.67 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d9…2f4abacked No | 70c | 99.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 70cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes | 14c | 99.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 14c | 92.59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…1420backed Yes | 32c | 91.5$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.28 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 40c | 90.25$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.26 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked No | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…6563backed Yes | 27c | 79$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.33 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…6070backed No | 73c | 49$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.37 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…f80abacked Yes | 28c | 48.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 34c | 43.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36c9…3f9fbacked No | 71c | 39$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 69cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07a4…be3abacked No | 71c | 37$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2944…031abacked Yes | 30c | 36.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e44…3cefbacked No | 73c | 34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd26c…fc57backed No | 73c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 63cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca65…6746backed No | 71c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf012…6d13backed No | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5253…b898backed No | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…1ed1backed No | 73c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1315…d32ebacked No | 73c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d3…432abacked No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7399…fe96backed No | 72c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -3.1wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x608b…6e88backed No | 73c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.13 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 70cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…81b6backed No | 73c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 58cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf340…6224backed No | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. SK Brann end in a draw?this page
- Will SK Brann win on 2026-01-29?No won
- Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz win on 2026-01-29?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.