South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Huracán vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x712df9ed7415793746907e06306135ceaa36783e26ab0c6351335e07e7bb6fa9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,492
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,823
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,492 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb3a1…3529backed No | 54c | 7,963$4,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,662.96 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 19c | 2,150$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.5 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 79c | 1,858$1,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.6 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 20c | 1,287$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.25 | 329 | 36.5%120 W · 209 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 21c | 1,043$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.95 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 61c | 852.84$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.86 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 21c | 758.04$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.17 | 92 | 29.3%27 W · 65 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 79c | 683.16$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.46 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0401…2f0ebacked No | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 38c | 421.05$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 82 | 28%23 W · 59 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed Yes | 18c | 400$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 80c | 366.84$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.19 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Yes | 37c | 294.59$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -8.8wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x961f…ab51backed Yes | 18c | 272.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed Yes | 18c | 199.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f97…a9b3backed Yes | 41c | 129.27$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e25…db26backed No | 59c | 110.17$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked No | 79c | 110$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 302 | 31.1%94 W · 208 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 132 | 28%37 W · 95 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 13c | 99.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 211 | 32.7%69 W · 142 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcf…75c6backed Yes | 41c | 97.51$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.98 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc149…bb7abacked Yes | 18c | 86.72$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…c6f9backed Yes | 18c | 69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc55d…9d2dbacked No | 80c | 64.88$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.98 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 62c | 57.71$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.93 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bc…5325backed Yes | 19c | 56.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed No | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 138 | 39.9%55 W · 83 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 75c | 36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.15 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25c0…c187backed No | 80c | 31.96$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.47 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +5.6wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 62c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Huracán vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Huracán win on 2026-02-08?Yes won
- Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro win on 2026-02-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.