South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Huracán win on 2026-02-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0191f6aff176ec6bb5fbada571160c3270e96a224bf297030efef19c00f3bede
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,472
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,056
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,472 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1420…9daabacked No | 31c | 2,425$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.19 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 34c | 2,017$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,331.25 | 308 | 41.2%127 W · 181 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 10c | 1,715$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.19 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 76c | 1,263$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.37 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 12c | 828.11$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.98 | 329 | 36.5%120 W · 209 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 63c | 433.95$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.15 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33e6…0244backed Yes | 36c | 400$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes | 38c | 394.43$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.89 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6d…c504backed Yes | 78c | 385.02$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.02 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Yes | 40c | 315$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.33 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes | 33c | 305.26$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.26 | 103 | 26.2%27 W · 76 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 30c | 300$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed Yes | 38c | 300$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 124 | 43.5%54 W · 70 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 25c | 162.17$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.42 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a5…d47bbacked Yes | 78c | 155$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked No | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb0…4cd4backed No | 24c | 150$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 69c | 147.33$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.12 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 45c | 125.06$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.28 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 34c | 101.49$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.49 | 137 | 39.4%54 W · 83 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e25…db26backed No | 67c | 97.01$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 21c | 93.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa731…d6a6backed No | 37c | 90.23$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Yes | 74c | 88.82$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.41 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x556c…5b77backed No | 31c | 87.69$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.49 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Yes | 36c | 86.11$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.11 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed No | 25c | 75.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.59 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 35c | 75.05$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.92 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x548e…dce1backed Yes | 39c | 70.56$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.09 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 62c | 66$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.92 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 64c | 65.54$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.47 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 60c | 65$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.15 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 70c | 64.33$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.36 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 36c | 62.98$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.57 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…374abacked No | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 63c | 60$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 179 | 50.8%91 W · 88 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc525…daf0backed No | 30c | 55.09$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.71 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 34c | 52.05$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.55 | 313 | 49.8%156 W · 157 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 138 | 39.9%55 W · 83 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Yes | 35c | 46.22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.14 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabfc…173ebacked Yes | 71c | 45.05$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef5e…4c1dbacked Yes | 36c | 41.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.81 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 66c | 40.37$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 119 | 59.7%71 W · 48 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf7…9f98backed Yes | 41c | 29.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1373…a44dbacked Yes | 78c | 25.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee26…3798backed Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc149…bb7abacked Yes | 79c | 20.16$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7943…29b4backed Yes | 80c | 17.76$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.55 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e0…ad29backed No | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Huracán win on 2026-02-08?this page
- Will CA Huracán vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro end in a draw?No won
- Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro win on 2026-02-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.