South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro win on 2026-02-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf4e3b054c2a5de03cf80a292668c0f6a01471bbeff793e26e0e29d5c6122967
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $77,349
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,232
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,349 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x21e5…b57dbacked Yes | 26c | 23,299$5,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,976.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…b5febacked Yes | 0c | 22,246$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.93 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 75c | 11,207$8,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,815.79 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 77c | 7,115$5,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,607.13 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 73c | 5,584$4,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,506.6 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Yes | 11c | 4,297$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.59 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 26c | 4,027$1,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,047.06 | 436 | 18.8%82 W · 354 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 76c | 3,236$2,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.96 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8126…9d18backed Yes | 21c | 1,300$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.40per pick | 57cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc525…daf0backed Yes | 2c | 1,085$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.61 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed No | 78c | 988.99$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.58 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 72c | 933$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.24 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf24e…080dbacked No | 75c | 879.33$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.83 | 21 | 85.7%18 W · 3 L | +4.9wins | +0.23per pick | 62cpaid | +37%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9f1a…3589backed Yes | 27c | 741.11$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Yes | 3c | 521.82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 46 | 17.4%8 W · 38 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…5fbbbacked Yes | 27c | 444.63$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x602e…e237backed No | 75c | 439.67$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc149…bb7abacked Yes | 4c | 349.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c35…20c0backed Yes | 25c | 333.92$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.43 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 21c | 300$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 74c | 216.35$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.76 | 270 | 50.7%137 W · 133 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 5c | 198$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 329 | 36.5%120 W · 209 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93b1…be45backed Yes | 21c | 190.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 80c | 186.34$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.54 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Yes | 23c | 176$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.67 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes | 26c | 153.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 103 | 26.2%27 W · 76 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 7c | 146$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcf…75c6backed Yes | 24c | 139.17$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.45 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked No | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed No | 74c | 135.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.13 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b90…a395backed Yes | 29c | 119$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.51 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…478fbacked Yes | 27c | 115$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1253…7e78backed Yes | 26c | 109.69$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.52 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57cb…2208backed No | 74c | 107.61$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.98 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf628…ba6fbacked Yes | 28c | 106.94$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.47 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…bf48backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 74c | 72$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Yes | 21c | 70$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebd1…1e86backed Yes | 26c | 62.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd6…b378backed Yes | 27c | 52.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 73c | 39$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.61 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7e…50aabacked No | 74c | 29.81$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.71 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf7…9f98backed No | 76c | 20.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.01 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc448…d166backed No | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 75cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7943…29b4backed No | 76c | 14.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.59 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro win on 2026-02-08?this page
- Will CA Huracán vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro end in a draw?No won
- Will CA Huracán win on 2026-02-08?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.