Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on March 11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a8237b067eef148378d3739565b784912046b0e980128a4f74e2b530d895c29
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,547
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,547 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbdc3…6ebbbacked No | 64c | 1,650$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2a…5c95backed Yes | 36c | 1,650$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 30c | 833.88$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.2 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…faeabacked No | 67c | 386.12$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.71 | 311 | 70.7%220 W · 91 L | +42.3wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xad13…7ed6backed No | 68c | 384.49$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.58 | 919 | 67%616 W · 303 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa37d…b2b4backed No | 71c | 332.06$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.69 | 321 | 57.3%184 W · 137 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a26…c335backed Yes | 31c | 329.37$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.89 | 862 | 26.8%231 W · 631 L | +28.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf516…1ea1backed No | 56c | 275.5$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.08 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 23c | 253.31$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.9 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a42…8da8backed Yes | 29c | 244.67$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.28 | 388 | 40.7%158 W · 230 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…0a0bbacked Yes | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.28 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2db…2263backed Yes | 34c | 198.3$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.51 | 111 | 26.1%29 W · 82 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51bb…a919backed Yes | 51c | 185.83$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.96 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9c…e014backed Yes | 69c | 183.88$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.54 | 258 | 39.9%103 W · 155 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac0d…8bb7backed Yes | 63c | 154$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa96a…1377backed No | 65c | 151$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.48 | 541 | 43.6%236 W · 305 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf21b…5121backed No | 77c | 130.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.49 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 34c | 128.66$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.98 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b4c…efa9backed Yes | 40c | 127.7$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.15 | 122 | 30.3%37 W · 85 L | -11.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…86cbbacked Yes | 65c | 123.02$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.83 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 73cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 59c | 111.68$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.65 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4635…6c48backed Yes | 46c | 110$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -7.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbf…9047backed Yes | 30c | 106.07$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.91 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 38c | 102$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.8 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 24c | 101.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x68db…44f0backed No | 75c | 101.33$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 191 | 48.2%92 W · 99 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…c6f9backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.33 | 250 | 29.2%73 W · 177 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…a3ddbacked Yes | 25c | 99.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.99 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 68c | 99.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.99 | 583 | 49.4%288 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…141dbacked Yes | 33c | 99.57$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.34 | 1,256 | 38.2%480 W · 776 L | +53.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 28c | 98.19$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.05 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d5…9f2abacked No | 22c | 93.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf77b…42e9backed No | 68c | 92.65$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.69 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +5.8wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…ac89backed Yes | 34c | 89$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.74 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e76…65bdbacked Yes | 33c | 82.47$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.87 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0401…69debacked Yes | 36c | 80.32$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.32 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf1…ffd5backed Yes | 29c | 79.62$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.62 | 114 | 36%41 W · 73 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x357f…b6c5backed Yes | 65c | 76.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.76 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd088…a3eabacked No | 74c | 76.44$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.56 | 79 | 72.2%57 W · 22 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c3…1503backed Yes | 43c | 75$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.75 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…7105backed Yes | 27c | 73.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.45 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -29%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Yes | 30c | 68.67$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.91 | 343 | 19.5%67 W · 276 L | +22.4wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e3…5062backed No | 55c | 66.64$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.65 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5c…cdf7backed No | 70c | 66.44$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.42 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b9…b47fbacked No | 61c | 65.36$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.09 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13e6…c310backed Yes | 29c | 65.25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.33 | 159 | 11.3%18 W · 141 L | -10.1wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa9…858dbacked Yes | 31c | 64.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 71c | 64.38$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.41 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…8ee7backed No | 68c | 64$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.47 | 163 | 55.2%90 W · 73 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x858b…a2cebacked Yes | 48c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.1 | 171 | 44.4%76 W · 95 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 57c | 58.69$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.55 | 1,592 | 30.8%491 W · 1,101 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…88e1backed Yes | 32c | 57$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.56 | 1,298 | 33.1%430 W · 868 L | +39.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0069…e341backed No | 70c | 55.8$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.06 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…030fbacked Yes | 33c | 52.55$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a49…8d1fbacked No | 70c | 50.6$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.57 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7d…260cbacked Yes | 40c | 50.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.32 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed No | 58c | 50.22$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.07 | 999 | 61.8%617 W · 382 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed No | 63c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 1,255 | 62.5%785 W · 470 L | +99.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59fe…14fdbacked No | 49c | 49.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 572 | 32.9%188 W · 384 L | -104.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 31-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x36f1…847fbacked Yes | 29c | 46.73$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.02 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -5.9wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x36c2…2b8cbacked No | 67c | 44.79$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.01 | 707 | 70.2%496 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1be…3578backed Yes | 32c | 42.52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.92 | 56 | 26.8%15 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 34c | 42.32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.01 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e4…eec0backed Yes | 48c | 42.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.04 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1e…cc93backed Yes | 43c | 41$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.39 | 130 | 58.5%76 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed No | 77c | 40.61$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.4 | 135 | 23%31 W · 104 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f8…f4cbbacked Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 812 | 34.1%277 W · 535 L | +56.9wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x79b6…e042backed No | 53c | 39.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.29 | 445 | 53.3%237 W · 208 L | -21.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…ca1bbacked No | 31c | 39.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 1,275 | 34%433 W · 842 L | +46.2wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 56c | 38.88$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.79 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x83fe…23d9backed No | 67c | 37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.79 | 327 | 60.6%198 W · 129 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf01…79b6backed No | 61c | 34.81$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 86 | 65.1%56 W · 30 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe31e…ec88backed Yes | 38c | 33.24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.63 | 559 | 19.1%107 W · 452 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4f…8fbcbacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 214 | 40.2%86 W · 128 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…6fe5backed No | 63c | 30.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 1,452 | 36.8%534 W · 918 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd721…57a7backed Yes | 35c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 451 | 27.1%122 W · 329 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39da…5318backed No | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad62…2aa9backed Yes | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.17 | 165 | 32.7%54 W · 111 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…c70bbacked No | 73c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 549 | 66.7%366 W · 183 L | -27.1wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59b4…78c9backed No | 76c | 29.55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b3d…2c18backed No | 76c | 28.11$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.44 | 70 | 65.7%46 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b81…b68bbacked No | 68c | 27.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x73cd…ffafbacked No | 79c | 25.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 66c | 24.15$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 1,842 | 63.5%1,170 W · 672 L | -42.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59d4…b745backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 275 | 40%110 W · 165 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ced…7ce8backed No | 54c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ef…c9bcbacked No | 66c | 19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 77c | 18.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7cd…043fbacked No | 75c | 16.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 78c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 763 | 71.4%545 W · 218 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0832…8681backed No | 68c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 346 | 51.2%177 W · 169 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41d0…a837backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on March 11?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 71°F or below on March 11?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 86°F or higher on March 11?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on March 11?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on March 11?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on March 11?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on March 11?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on March 11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.