Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on March 11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d9e6529ef0b6c0c5bf7ad35b60c84742b43d4ddfef1900c965a54c09ee299b3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,118
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,118 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb720…8d6cbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…88e1backed Yes | 32c | 1,160$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.49 | 1,298 | 33.1%430 W · 868 L | +39.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51bb…a919backed No | 69c | 429.15$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.15 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d72…8e62backed Yes | 9c | 399.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1,817 | 8.1%148 W · 1,669 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf47c…e36bbacked Yes | 13c | 343.83$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.83 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf516…1ea1backed Yes | 48c | 338.83$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.24 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad13…7ed6backed No | 66c | 336.15$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.73 | 919 | 67%616 W · 303 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…141dbacked No | 61c | 225.05$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.58 | 1,256 | 38.2%480 W · 776 L | +53.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 64c | 216.52$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.48 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa37d…b2b4backed No | 49c | 211.97$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.2 | 321 | 57.3%184 W · 137 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 32c | 201.23$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.28 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2db…2263backed Yes | 35c | 200.66$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.17 | 111 | 26.1%29 W · 82 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc33…9636backed No | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 125 | 40%50 W · 75 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a4…f148backed Yes | 40c | 199.58$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.68 | 1,429 | 34.5%493 W · 936 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83fe…23d9backed No | 71c | 176$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.78 | 327 | 60.6%198 W · 129 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…f23dbacked Yes | 32c | 171.87$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.69 | 335 | 35.2%118 W · 217 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 29c | 160.17$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.15 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…8ee7backed No | 70c | 141.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.08 | 163 | 55.2%90 W · 73 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed Yes | 37c | 132.97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.93 | 1,605 | 42.9%689 W · 916 L | -86.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ca…ad5dbacked Yes | 55c | 131.59$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 18c | 123.21$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f8…f4cbbacked Yes | 26c | 122.73$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 812 | 34.1%277 W · 535 L | +56.9wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 33c | 120$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.19 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a42…8da8backed Yes | 34c | 118.74$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.78 | 388 | 40.7%158 W · 230 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…ac89backed No | 35c | 106.31$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.28 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 51c | 101.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.14 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8e…5d6abacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 95 | 20%19 W · 76 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac0d…8bb7backed Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…a3ddbacked Yes | 30c | 99.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 13c | 99.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 841 | 24%202 W · 639 L | -35.9wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 65c | 96.5$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.06 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 69c | 94.8$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.48 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a49…8d1fbacked No | 38c | 93.52$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.82 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b4c…efa9backed Yes | 34c | 93.33$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 122 | 30.3%37 W · 85 L | -11.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf21b…5121backed No | 72c | 89$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.92 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5c…cdf7backed No | 54c | 86.09$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.67 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…faeabacked No | 51c | 81.96$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.85 | 311 | 70.7%220 W · 91 L | +42.3wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0514…4fefbacked Yes | 31c | 80$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 195 | 31.3%61 W · 134 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbf…9047backed Yes | 14c | 77.49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb537…14ccbacked No | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 414 | 60.1%249 W · 165 L | -21.5wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…c6f9backed Yes | 26c | 75.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 250 | 29.2%73 W · 177 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x720a…0a49backed No | 73c | 67.2$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.02 | 118 | 78.8%93 W · 25 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 71cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 33c | 66.76$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbecc…f560backed Yes | 32c | 65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.95 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7f…44d4backed No | 67c | 64.96$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.44 | 249 | 66.7%166 W · 83 L | +15.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeba1…44dfbacked Yes | 67c | 64.93$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a06…15a9backed Yes | 31c | 62.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 567 | 21.3%121 W · 446 L | -25.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8d…a96cbacked Yes | 32c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 810 | 29.1%236 W · 574 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x858b…a2cebacked Yes | 43c | 59.83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 171 | 44.4%76 W · 95 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc550…dbe8backed Yes | 68c | 58.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf1…ffd5backed Yes | 28c | 55.55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.67 | 114 | 36%41 W · 73 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed No | 68c | 53.7$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 135 | 23%31 W · 104 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2e…c770backed Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 395 | 41.3%163 W · 232 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c0…ae83backed Yes | 33c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.37 | 122 | 23%28 W · 94 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 49.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.99 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 34c | 45.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xcf01…79b6backed Yes | 32c | 45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 86 | 65.1%56 W · 30 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa42b…92e0backed No | 68c | 43.16$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.81 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ab…823bbacked No | 51c | 42.7$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.94 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e76…65bdbacked No | 68c | 42.62$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41fa…7cc4backed Yes | 35c | 42.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 792 | 55.2%437 W · 355 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36c2…2b8cbacked No | 71c | 42.29$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.33 | 707 | 70.2%496 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5504…665dbacked No | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd979…4a18backed Yes | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +4.7wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…ca1bbacked No | 31c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 1,274 | 34%433 W · 841 L | +46.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x540f…4bf4backed No | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 64 | 67.2%43 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Yes | 54c | 35.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 999 | 61.8%617 W · 382 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba8…8d3cbacked No | 66c | 35.09$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.93 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -16%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1e…cc93backed No | 55c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 130 | 58.5%76 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x131d…2a50backed No | 67c | 34.19$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 103 | 35.9%37 W · 66 L | -15.3wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x59b4…78c9backed No | 68c | 33.18$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.68 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…6fe5backed No | 66c | 33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.24 | 1,452 | 36.8%534 W · 918 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b81…b68bbacked No | 68c | 32.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked No | 35c | 31.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.76 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd05…0e6ebacked No | 61c | 31.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.23 | 77 | 67.5%52 W · 25 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 1,002 | 60.9%610 W · 392 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…7762backed No | 74c | 31.24$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b9…b47fbacked No | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.51 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd721…57a7backed Yes | 63c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 451 | 27.1%122 W · 329 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad62…2aa9backed Yes | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 165 | 32.7%54 W · 111 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…c70bbacked No | 73c | 29.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 549 | 66.7%366 W · 183 L | -27.1wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x222e…a983backed No | 69c | 28.24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6228…7a9dbacked Yes | 36c | 27.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -76.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf77b…42e9backed Yes | 70c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +5.8wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed No | 72c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 318 | 68.6%218 W · 100 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdef0…9c46backed Yes | 72c | 23.51$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0574…e49fbacked Yes | 67c | 22.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 67 | 29.9%20 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked No | 63c | 21.36$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.9 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59d4…b745backed No | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 275 | 40%110 W · 165 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…4622backed No | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 562 | 65.5%368 W · 194 L | +35.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b25…51eebacked Yes | 64c | 18.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2a…23eebacked No | 69c | 17.87$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.47 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc65a…a48ebacked No | 67c | 17.78$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.95 | 77 | 64.9%50 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec4…6f33backed Yes | 65c | 16.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e3…5062backed No | 66c | 15.27$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…4408backed No | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 335 | 67.5%226 W · 109 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa685…c2b3backed No | 68c | 14.71$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on March 11?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 71°F or below on March 11?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 86°F or higher on March 11?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on March 11?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on March 11?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on March 11?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on March 11?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on March 11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.