South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. Instituto AC Córdoba end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d4c651f5e990d9d722e70f780a1751fd112f1f2a557270c76779b8284b79710
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,749
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,200
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,749 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 58c | 2,918$1,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,236.62 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…c6f9backed Yes | 38c | 1,980$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.4 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 56c | 1,066$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.21 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked No | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.83 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 51c | 1,007$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.26 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 12c | 899.98$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 367 | 27%99 W · 268 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 65c | 576$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.6 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 35c | 491.43$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 82 | 28%23 W · 59 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked No | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9078backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 122 | 39.3%48 W · 74 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 39c | 199.8$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.9 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 34c | 184.4$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.56 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 66c | 156.42$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.18 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 67c | 92.15$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.55 | 270 | 50.7%137 W · 133 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 55c | 89$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.05 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7e…50aabacked Yes | 30c | 72.02$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed No | 62c | 70$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 35c | 68.57$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 201 | 42.3%85 W · 116 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 70c | 55.5$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.62 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 67c | 50.8$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.69 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 48c | 47.7$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.61 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x558c…ca77backed Yes | 62c | 44.35$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 138 | 39.9%55 W · 83 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. Instituto AC Córdoba end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza win on 2026-02-08?Yes won
- Will Instituto AC Córdoba win on 2026-02-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.