South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Pumas de la UNAM vs. Querétaro FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd42edd6a4cffa3a53fab0162f26874055dc6448923534a56f0c59abef741d335
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,168
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,556
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,168 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 78c | 556.38$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.57 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 74c | 509.73$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.86 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 69c | 413.44$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.76 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 26c | 412$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.88 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 30c | 403.68$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.68 | 82 | 28%23 W · 59 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed No | 65c | 375.48$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.06 | 108 | 19.4%21 W · 87 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Yes | 22c | 300$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 75c | 289.11$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.06 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 33c | 281.27$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.57 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…c6f9backed Yes | 22c | 218.68$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.57 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 50c | 171.9$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.55 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 61c | 164.54$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.54 | 151 | 58.3%88 W · 63 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 33c | 115.48$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.32 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 63c | 99.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d33…065cbacked No | 75c | 94.52$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 24c | 54$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.98 | 234 | 35%82 W · 152 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked No | 77c | 51$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.27 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…9305backed No | 77c | 51$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.27 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 60c | 48.87$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.36 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2df5…51acbacked Yes | 29c | 41.02$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.02 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 77c | 40$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 39c | 37.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 67c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 138 | 39.9%55 W · 83 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Yes | 56c | 32.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 77c | 26.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 108 | 80.6%87 W · 21 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1a…25cebacked Yes | 79c | 12.73$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Pumas de la UNAM vs. Querétaro FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-01-11?No won
- Will Querétaro FC win on 2026-01-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.