South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-01-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x063bdd7b4351e8f82f79656b0bccd2c69f09e169cc2656810bcb1a733240efbe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,195
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,217
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,195 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 55c | 5,498$3,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,051.45 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bd…2182backed No | 44c | 2,970$1,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,663.18 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 47c | 2,383$1,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,263.26 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed No | 45c | 1,778$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.78 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 49c | 699.1$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.76 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 63c | 688$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.15 | 234 | 35%82 W · 152 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 61c | 668.49$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.71 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 38c | 449.43$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.65 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 64c | 442.17$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.45 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13a8…642bbacked Yes | 22c | 413.35$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 57c | 409.38$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.86 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 47c | 327.55$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.04 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 50c | 308$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 45c | 243.06$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.28 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 51c | 240.91$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 137 | 39.4%54 W · 83 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…c6f9backed Yes | 69c | 218.68$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.89 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Yes | 64c | 205.14$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.74 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed No | 38c | 200$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 124 | 43.5%54 W · 70 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed No | 38c | 161$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.82 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +4.7wins | +0.23per pick | 20cpaid | +138.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Yes | 69c | 158.51$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.5 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 62c | 151$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.62 | 120 | 65%78 W · 42 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 34c | 150$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 312 | 26.6%83 W · 229 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa64b…1e4bbacked Yes | 50c | 135.08$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.54 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Yes | 50c | 125$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 25c | 106.33$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.43 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed No | 23c | 102.9$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.36 | 108 | 19.4%21 W · 87 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 12c | 93.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 45 | 6.7%3 W · 42 L | -16.3wins | -0.36per pick | 43cpaid | -90.1%equal weight | 24-0.23 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 45c | 93.33$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 151 | 58.3%88 W · 63 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Yes | 63c | 87$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.81 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x518b…cf8abacked Yes | 60c | 70$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed No | 31c | 68.88$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.28 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 38cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 71c | 67.76$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.69 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f5…8be3backed No | 34c | 62$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.92 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed No | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Yes | 63c | 60$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…4ab4backed Yes | 80c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes | 49c | 41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +9.0wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc504…8cfebacked Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -4.5wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 39c | 31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70c8…006cbacked Yes | 54c | 30.82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd647…9c8fbacked No | 37c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Yes | 59c | 29.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed No | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 134 | 41%55 W · 79 L | -14.6wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcaad…b5a9backed Yes | 50c | 25.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked No | 44c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44ac…a025backed Yes | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Yes | 56c | 21.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -49%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed No | 53c | 21.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.02 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x816e…abe1backed Yes | 64c | 20.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -9.0wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf05e…180bbacked No | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 59cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 72c | 18.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Yes | 68c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-01-11?this page
- Will Pumas de la UNAM vs. Querétaro FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Querétaro FC win on 2026-01-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.