Movies · resolved market
Will "How to Make a Killing" score at least 56 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x35c409fd5f88e78e4a3eddba93fcb24893b4260b55c472be492d0c175d4526bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $189,907
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,010
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $189,907 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x580c…6d83backed Yes | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x583b…7779backed Yes | 0c | 14,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0096…0d85backed Yes | 0c | 12,090$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…d1c7backed Yes | 0c | 12,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,218 | 17.8%217 W · 1,001 L | -124.0wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 20c | 6,962$1,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,416.75 | 118 | 25.4%30 W · 88 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…26a7backed No | 80c | 4,295$3,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.26 | 134 | 40.3%54 W · 80 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c4d…5ff1backed Yes | 6c | 1,707$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.14 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +171.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…a78cbacked Yes | 20c | 1,048$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.49 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe632…aa26backed No | 73c | 500$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca12…ea03backed No | 76c | 252.59$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.34 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +4.7wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +88.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 78c | 209.42$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.36 | 142 | 40.1%57 W · 85 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 19c | 193.18$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.37 | 45 | 8.9%4 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -76.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcffe…146dbacked No | 67c | 192.47$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.78 | 129 | 36.4%47 W · 82 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e3…6fb0backed No | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f28…2785backed Yes | 19c | 91.03$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.37 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…c6f9backed Yes | 26c | 87.62$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.35 | 92 | 26.1%24 W · 68 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 13c | 83.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 211 | 9.5%20 W · 191 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 73c | 67.27$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.98 | 208 | 41.8%87 W · 121 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf93…bdc8backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbea0…e19dbacked No | 62c | 29.62$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed No | 73c | 14.72$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "How to Make a Killing" score at least 56 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?this page
- Will "How to Make a Killing" score at least 57 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes won
- Will "How to Make a Killing" score at least 58 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No won
- Will "How to Make a Killing" score at least 59 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No won
- Will "How to Make a Killing" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.