Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on March 12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd5b3e61ac0c39acb13793d63c00c5c62f1ff0dc1a9a012f2608e09d597cd31aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,948
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,948 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x544c…41a4backed No | 1c | 4,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.66 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe170…3c0bbacked No | 71c | 602.6$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.85 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c78…42e6backed No | 9c | 571.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 597 | 42%251 W · 346 L | +96.8wins | +0.16per pick | 26cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xad13…7ed6backed No | 61c | 550.31$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.75 | 919 | 67%616 W · 303 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 31c | 358.92$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.09 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10e…4308backed Yes | 62c | 343.53$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.7 | 236 | 73.3%173 W · 63 L | +28.6wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x672f…13ccbacked Yes | 48c | 300$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.39 | 330 | 58.8%194 W · 136 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 31c | 288$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.47 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf6…c61bbacked No | 53c | 265$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.42 | 608 | 51.2%311 W · 297 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff3…c7edbacked No | 77c | 260.44$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc96c…b868backed No | 72c | 243.73$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.86 | 291 | 37.8%110 W · 181 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…6a43backed Yes | 56c | 215.72$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.72 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd98d…1179backed Yes | 30c | 154.39$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.93 | 232 | 31%72 W · 160 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80e1…47a8backed Yes | 39c | 151.35$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.49 | 242 | 62.4%151 W · 91 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9466…4d38backed Yes | 26c | 151.12$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.06 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 43c | 150.95$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.19 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a5…e304backed Yes | 64c | 150$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.42 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…c66bbacked No | 68c | 149.99$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.69 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 30c | 143.54$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.15 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee2a…729bbacked Yes | 38c | 130.22$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.22 | 104 | 26%27 W · 77 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 38c | 120.4$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.05 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce3…4291backed Yes | 29c | 112.85$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.67 | 2,165 | 23.8%516 W · 1,649 L | +83.8wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6af…4219backed Yes | 47c | 106.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.1 | 506 | 48.8%247 W · 259 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x387c…8622backed Yes | 47c | 103.76$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.05 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfecc…77dabacked Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 404 | 38.1%154 W · 250 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8eea…e285backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 410 | 46.8%192 W · 218 L | +57.4wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 69c | 87.66$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.22 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3df6…8510backed Yes | 32c | 86.68$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.79 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +111.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed No | 24c | 83.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.38 | 328 | 18.3%60 W · 268 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc769…0925backed Yes | 36c | 82.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.75 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…c6f9backed Yes | 25c | 81.72$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.08 | 250 | 29.2%73 W · 177 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…8ee7backed Yes | 48c | 78.79$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.22 | 163 | 55.2%90 W · 73 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Yes | 43c | 78$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.16 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb537…14ccbacked No | 65c | 76.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 414 | 60.1%249 W · 165 L | -21.5wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 33c | 75$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.55 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…d343backed No | 55c | 74.5$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb501…9a53backed No | 78c | 74.1$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.1 | 175 | 36%63 W · 112 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2895…2574backed Yes | 43c | 73$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.36 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +5.2wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba5…dc25backed Yes | 51c | 71.87$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.87 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 61c | 70.53$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.91 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x025b…1793backed Yes | 24c | 70$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 126 | 32.5%41 W · 85 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 39c | 65.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b0…ab64backed Yes | 30c | 62.15$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.51 | 294 | 59.5%175 W · 119 L | +20.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 52c | 60.7$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.26 | 1,592 | 30.8%491 W · 1,101 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc393…66f9backed Yes | 35c | 60$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 129 | 32.6%42 W · 87 L | -8.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…bbaabacked Yes | 44c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.85 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 41c | 59.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.29 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed No | 30c | 59.04$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 523 | 22.6%118 W · 405 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a06…15a9backed Yes | 30c | 52.89$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.84 | 567 | 21.3%121 W · 446 L | -25.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa96a…1377backed No | 67c | 51$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.37 | 541 | 43.6%236 W · 305 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Yes | 25c | 50.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.84 | 346 | 17.9%62 W · 284 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea1c…6a96backed Yes | 46c | 50.17$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.17 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80f5…2b27backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.98 | 314 | 42.4%133 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x354d…eb8fbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 701 | 33.5%235 W · 466 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 49.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0401…69debacked Yes | 54c | 48.38$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.38 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…18d8backed Yes | 36c | 47.5$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36c2…2b8cbacked No | 68c | 44.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 707 | 70.2%496 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5580…8029backed Yes | 46c | 43.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.93 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 49c | 40.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 1,605 | 42.9%689 W · 916 L | -86.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75ea…1616backed Yes | 50c | 39.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.12 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f43…a1dfbacked Yes | 31c | 39.48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.24 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…df5ebacked Yes | 38c | 38$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.56 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 70c | 37.84$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.37 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3069…e34bbacked Yes | 46c | 34.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,002 | 60.9%610 W · 392 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f44…c470backed Yes | 35c | 32.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.28 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3db6…4894backed Yes | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3738…ed32backed Yes | 42c | 31.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.16 | 201 | 44.3%89 W · 112 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8d…a96cbacked Yes | 52c | 29.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.09 | 810 | 29.1%236 W · 574 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f6f…f5f0backed Yes | 37c | 27.21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cab…7489backed No | 74c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 103 | 71.8%74 W · 29 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Yes | 47c | 24.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.85 | 1,018 | 60.2%613 W · 405 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64bd…82cfbacked No | 67c | 24.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 187 | 61%114 W · 73 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71b5…d067backed Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x139b…a1a5backed No | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd0…046fbacked Yes | 75c | 19.53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.89 | 253 | 35.2%89 W · 164 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…6fe5backed No | 60c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 1,452 | 36.8%534 W · 918 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed No | 71c | 17.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 59 | 74.6%44 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 58c | 17.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 1,842 | 63.5%1,170 W · 672 L | -42.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…ac89backed No | 67c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on March 12?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on March 12?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on March 12?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on March 12?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on March 12?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on March 12?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C or higher on March 12?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 9°C or below on March 12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.