South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Carabobo FC win on 2026-02-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd0d103f350650a1117b9de89df92ffea375faeb678cfa2a1f124504647c0d704
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,012
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,192
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,012 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc22c…9c02backed Yes | 41c | 1,624$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed No | 59c | 1,173$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692 | 33 | 78.8%26 W · 7 L | +6.4wins | +0.20per pick | 59cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 64c | 1,146$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.14 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed Yes | 40c | 847.39$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.43 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed No | 60c | 636.67$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 41c | 563.91$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.14 | 148 | 24.3%36 W · 112 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e85…443ebacked No | 53c | 499.99$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 54c | 462.27$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.44 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b45…d5f4backed No | 59c | 373.44$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6e…c865backed No | 59c | 294$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.52 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa5…4f56backed No | 59c | 253.42$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.52 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 51c | 227.65$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.97 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 50c | 207.28$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.66 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked No | 51c | 200.25$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.25 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f6a…8ec7backed Yes | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Yes | 73c | 194$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.15 | 270 | 50.7%137 W · 133 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…53ebbacked No | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 20c | 167.77$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.87 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked No | 59c | 166.34$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.93 | 79 | 30.4%24 W · 55 L | -9.3wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 37c | 141.72$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.39 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6313…246dbacked Yes | 40c | 125.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +151.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Yes | 45c | 114.66$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.58 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 45c | 113.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.84 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 44c | 113.2$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.2 | 184 | 33.2%61 W · 123 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 64c | 101.18$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2606…03a2backed No | 20c | 100.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3710backed No | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 28c | 95.95$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.32 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25c0…c187backed Yes | 42c | 95.47$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.94 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +5.6wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xec55…f66abacked No | 33c | 91.26$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ce3bbacked No | 29c | 79.31$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…948abacked Yes | 37c | 70$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 44c | 65.45$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.45 | 201 | 42.3%85 W · 116 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed No | 40c | 61.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.79 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce3…ff2abacked Yes | 74c | 58.85$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec25…dec6backed Yes | 74c | 56.76$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.76 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa288…401cbacked No | 28c | 55.16$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95ad…4eebbacked No | 55c | 54.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.69 | 107 | 67.3%72 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 52c | 52$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.04 | 213 | 45.1%96 W · 117 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked No | 59c | 50.32$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 67c | 49.83$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.21 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16d3…426ebacked No | 22c | 48.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 41c | 48.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 48c | 47.4$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.65 | 452 | 53.1%240 W · 212 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 42c | 46.14$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.99 | 88 | 8%7 W · 81 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed No | 55c | 44.94$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.79 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 45c | 40.3$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.27 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 27c | 40.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed No | 56c | 38.91$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.79 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Yes | 41c | 34.14$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.14 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 44c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.55 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 58c | 31.36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…c6f9backed Yes | 43c | 30.07$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed Yes | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Yes | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb4…9854backed No | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64c2…8a33backed No | 54c | 25.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee70…7e8abacked Yes | 44c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.11 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +110.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3890…41a3backed No | 56c | 21.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed No | 57c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 99 | 56.6%56 W · 43 L | +12.3wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3207…86d9backed No | 59c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 58c | 20.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 212 | 66.5%141 W · 71 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95dc…4b45backed No | 57c | 19.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc5…2585backed No | 56c | 18.55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf412…3120backed Yes | 74c | 15.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Carabobo FC win on 2026-02-17?this page
- Will CD Huachipato win on 2026-02-17?No won
- Will Carabobo FC vs. CD Huachipato end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.