Olympics · resolved market
Will USA win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Men's Team Pursuit at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2fc0075a8120e5301ce71737a77e17864674bd6ac41181dc4250b2a130aa19d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Olympicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,801
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,812
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,801 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Olympics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Olympics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6c0e…35f8backed No | 42c | 1,951$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Yes | 59c | 1,784$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.52 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +5.3wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b9…b836backed No | 58c | 708.5$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.95 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.18per pick | 30cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 39c | 644.02$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +4.6wins | +0.51per pick | 38cpaid | +161.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf878…05c1backed Yes | 11c | 544.44$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.56 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.30per pick | 10cpaid | +255.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa53e…f9f6backed Yes | 40c | 485.91$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.36 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e73…b728backed Yes | 61c | 412.48$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 65cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed No | 43c | 411.17$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.62 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed Yes | 57c | 375$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.99 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 63c | 354.53$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.84 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -26%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55df…e4e6backed Yes | 63c | 325$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Yes | 63c | 183.71$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.21 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 29c | 182.68$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.48 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x250e…e864backed Yes | 52c | 181.07$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.16 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 66c | 76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 37c | 70$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.92 | 244 | 8.2%20 W · 224 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf32…5159backed No | 37c | 59.63$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.32 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Yes | 59c | 54$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.62 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…c6f9backed Yes | 46c | 37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…9838backed Yes | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb52e…cdcebacked Yes | 61c | 26.52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa078…8195backed Yes | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Olympics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will USA win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Men's Team Pursuit at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?this page
- Will China win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Men's Team Pursuit at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Italy win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Men's Team Pursuit at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?Yes won
- Will Netherlands win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Men's Team Pursuit at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Norway win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Men's Team Pursuit at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.