Premier League · resolved market
Will Swansea City AFC win on 2026-01-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc7af8f5fc14b472813ccd87a91b48a3a1a77aa926a4cca4dcc3ae21eac4b285
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,646
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,034
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,646 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 67c | 1,946$1,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.48 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 66c | 1,770$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.07 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2727…eef4backed Yes | 35c | 1,010$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.05 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed Yes | 32c | 940$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.8 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a55…fd0dbacked Yes | 37c | 541.22$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 66c | 459.6$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.9 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 76c | 360.09$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.87 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc579…21cdbacked Yes | 34c | 350$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…c6f9backed Yes | 39c | 340$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.7 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79a4…3358backed Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76da…30a2backed Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 138 | 42%58 W · 80 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Yes | 35c | 299.7$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.61 | 241 | 58.1%140 W · 101 L | +34.1wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Yes | 33c | 279.33$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.18 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 72c | 252.13$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.53 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 60c | 210$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 518 | 47.3%245 W · 273 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2298…ac49backed Yes | 18c | 170.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 44 | 15.9%7 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Yes | 22c | 157.09$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 181 | 39.2%71 W · 110 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Yes | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…dd64backed Yes | 36c | 140.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes | 30c | 134.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 351 | 34.8%122 W · 229 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Yes | 33c | 128.81$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes | 34c | 118.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 162 | 33.3%54 W · 108 L | -14.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5007…119dbacked Yes | 24c | 103.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7d…c3a6backed No | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2d…379dbacked Yes | 33c | 90.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed No | 75c | 76.36$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.83 | 122 | 45.1%55 W · 67 L | -7.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes | 37c | 70.27$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…16cabacked Yes | 36c | 68.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 140 | 43.6%61 W · 79 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Yes | 31c | 65.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e63…2d79backed Yes | 31c | 64.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…0262backed Yes | 23c | 61.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 75 | 22.7%17 W · 58 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed No | 70c | 60.04$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.76 | 209 | 31.6%66 W · 143 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x927b…3735backed Yes | 17c | 59.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Yes | 37c | 53.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 63c | 53.41$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.76 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4651…8da8backed Yes | 34c | 43.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.33per pick | 45cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 36c | 39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…fb9dbacked Yes | 31c | 35.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9fa…c365backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d78…a4ccbacked No | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.19per pick | 55cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a58…149dbacked No | 70c | 16.24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec8…397bbacked No | 65c | 16.01$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.59 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Swansea City AFC win on 2026-01-10?this page
- Will Swansea City AFC vs. West Bromwich Albion FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will West Bromwich Albion FC win on 2026-01-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.