Serie A · resolved market
Will Como 1907 win on 2025-12-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x26d8efb682234ae5ffa03883ee66c8829600f50baf2dc7fab1948520805cc2aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,646
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,580
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,646 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2dd2…b035backed Yes | 0c | 5,944$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.74 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 15c | 3,050$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.45 | 135 | 17%23 W · 112 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 15c | 1,500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 366 | 30.9%113 W · 253 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 15c | 1,389$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.99 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa9…a36dbacked Yes | 15c | 1,267$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 14c | 996.67$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.53 | 208 | 27.9%58 W · 150 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 14c | 745.85$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.42 | 129 | 23.3%30 W · 99 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0d…1d6dbacked Yes | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 9c | 466.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 127 | 31.5%40 W · 87 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 16c | 455$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.8 | 138 | 40.6%56 W · 82 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…8765backed Yes | 16c | 363.05$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.42 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 13c | 320.25$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.39 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9776…fc56backed Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Yes | 16c | 306.25$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 114 | 29.8%34 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b8…5cf9backed Yes | 14c | 292.86$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d55…1e94backed Yes | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 15c | 186.02$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.32 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 15c | 186$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.42 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…51b7backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 179 | 48%86 W · 93 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…3d44backed Yes | 16c | 134.51$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2936…07f5backed Yes | 9c | 117.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf35b…983bbacked Yes | 15c | 97.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 25cpaid | +185%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c25…606ebacked Yes | 14c | 94.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00fa…9af5backed Yes | 16c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Yes | 15c | 67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9449…b6c4backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6b…12e7backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45be…8e8dbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 45cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3290…1c75backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Como 1907 win on 2025-12-06?this page
- Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. Como 1907 end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-12-06?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.