Middle East · resolved market
Assad out as President of Syria by March 31, 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb016ffde99bb7820cf82a9358f73d2cd9d0b9df6d3b1fd30198b043656a077ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $420,244
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $380,423
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $420,244 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 227 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4124…5827backed No | 25c | 76,641$19,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,239.14 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0240…e3a1backed No | 0c | 49,937$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.94 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa88d…221cbacked No | 19c | 19,609$3,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,751.07 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 8c | 17,161$1,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,454.45 | 123 | 33.3%41 W · 82 L | +13.6wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6139…6b7abacked Yes | 59c | 15,682$9,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,455.85 | 215 | 31.2%67 W · 148 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d52…50e6backed No | 10c | 11,107$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122.16 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf43a…cafcbacked No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 15cpaid | +46%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…b608backed Yes | 76c | 9,551$7,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,307.95 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 22c | 8,115$1,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,787.38 | 511 | 38.7%198 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc570…c2a0backed Yes | 16c | 6,758$1,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,651.25 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed No | 68c | 5,800$3,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,930.99 | 49 | 22.4%11 W · 38 L | -9.6wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4403…7c46backed No | 35c | 4,960$1,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,758.96 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0c…935dbacked Yes | 66c | 4,934$3,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,677.44 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked No | 1c | 4,526$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.47 | 27 | 0%0 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f72…83adbacked Yes | 67c | 4,197$2,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,368.59 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -75.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed Yes | 18c | 3,739$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,052.47 | 377 | 40.1%151 W · 226 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 17c | 3,193$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.56 | 56 | 7.1%4 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 14cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a4…447fbacked Yes | 63c | 2,996$1,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,107.49 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked No | 24c | 2,443$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.64 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…5132backed No | 77c | 2,306$1,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,773.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 39c | 2,242$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,374.37 | 358 | 19%68 W · 290 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf9…1289backed Yes | 41c | 2,240$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,313.35 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d3…3dd5backed Yes | 23c | 2,210$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,710.49 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +104.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6107…6d97backed Yes | 75c | 2,060$1,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.98 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c4…8441backed Yes | 68c | 2,019$1,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.09 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbe…ccb0backed Yes | 75c | 1,900$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.91 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce8f…4400backed Yes | 65c | 1,887$1,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.54 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf195…a7c1backed No | 36c | 1,710$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.89 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe03d…189abacked Yes | 74c | 1,545$1,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.46 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1af…d889backed No | 33c | 1,500$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 38 | 7.9%3 W · 35 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 16cpaid | -66%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21d9…0e65backed Yes | 75c | 1,500$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a8…00c7backed Yes | 76c | 1,487$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.36 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30d1…4525backed Yes | 64c | 1,320$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.28 | 104 | 64.4%67 W · 37 L | +11.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed Yes | 66c | 1,300$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.92 | 152 | 34.2%52 W · 100 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c46…a137backed No | 39c | 1,284$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d47…615dbacked No | 22c | 1,217$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0d…da48backed Yes | 49c | 1,201$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.85 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb11…e93fbacked Yes | 21c | 1,197$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.79 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4540…21e6backed No | 41c | 1,125$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.96 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa638…6318backed No | 79c | 1,000$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.49 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.26per pick | 71cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf916…9224backed No | 77c | 999$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.23 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa64…a43dbacked Yes | 70c | 938.82$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.51 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed No | 29c | 917.98$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.22 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 69c | 855.74$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.42 | 408 | 28.9%118 W · 290 L | -29.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc909…636ebacked Yes | 79c | 850$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 29cpaid | +860.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5018…398bbacked Yes | 74c | 833.88$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.89 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcd…d975backed Yes | 25c | 800$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +476.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc19d…865ebacked Yes | 63c | 800$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296 | 179 | 34.6%62 W · 117 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2a…895fbacked Yes | 60c | 800$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 31cpaid | -79.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x880e…00fcbacked Yes | 64c | 783.99$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.24 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd5…ac33backed Yes | 78c | 782.71$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.81 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed No | 15c | 764.08$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.85 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -64%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9dc…9026backed Yes | 21c | 714.29$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.29 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +116.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 70c | 712.11$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.88 | 776 | 36.9%286 W · 490 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb9d…d78ebacked No | 8c | 686.25$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.13 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf1…ee1dbacked Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90f2…566dbacked No | 25c | 604.41$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -77.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ce…6d96backed Yes | 22c | 591.48$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 31c | 570.06$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.87 | 865 | 42.3%366 W · 499 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd061…d5e4backed Yes | 76c | 538.27$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.35 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6518…f798backed No | 3c | 525.61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.58 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…0ec7backed No | 22c | 515.6$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b4…770dbacked No | 29c | 512.42$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.27 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fda…5b87backed Yes | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 79 | 40.5%32 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b78…e679backed Yes | 68c | 500$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +122.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae38…f877backed Yes | 70c | 496.48$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.66 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf259…7592backed No | 3c | 478.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0735…005dbacked No | 14c | 477.05$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.26 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36a0…436dbacked Yes | 25c | 460$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +113.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b73…4766backed Yes | 80c | 456.34$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.27 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0efc…8e2fbacked Yes | 71c | 452.04$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.29 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cb…b053backed No | 9c | 448.09$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.33 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed Yes | 61c | 425.89$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.65 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6523…795cbacked Yes | 71c | 423.74$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.34 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…8e58backed No | 5c | 416$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -45%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…9679backed No | 56c | 410.01$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.61 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc7…8c0abacked No | 7c | 408.16$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1166…7c32backed Yes | 23c | 402.17$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.67 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +109.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x192a…a285backed Yes | 67c | 400$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2384…3e0bbacked No | 24c | 399.96$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.06 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…4032backed Yes | 76c | 389.63$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.29 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf55…de06backed Yes | 61c | 355.6$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…675ebacked No | 12c | 350$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86dd…7948backed Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +101.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75f8…c0b3backed No | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…7b5ebacked No | 16c | 311.05$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18aa…f6ecbacked Yes | 68c | 307.59$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.49 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36fd…c834backed Yes | 65c | 302.55$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.67 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd129…dcf0backed Yes | 31c | 300.28$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.94 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d0…4e7dbacked Yes | 15c | 300$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6264…9937backed Yes | 68c | 300$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.57 | 113 | 50.4%57 W · 56 L | +11.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x054b…8477backed No | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed Yes | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.11 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x843a…1aa4backed Yes | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaad3…e666backed Yes | 34c | 298.15$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.15 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -4.6wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb566…978ebacked Yes | 70c | 291.71$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.51 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed Yes | 21c | 291.69$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.44 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb07d…23dcbacked No | 19c | 291.62$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb950…4dd4backed Yes | 48c | 284.82$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.11 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0585…1de9backed Yes | 74c | 284.45$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.45 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.