Bundesliga · resolved market
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2025-12-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x98fe895fbadf547e1b165db48c7cbe8518e6427e615da35318b382573d6ef02d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $297,485
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $300,764
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $297,485 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 38c | 200,148$76,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76,117.71 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 72c | 81,588$58,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,986.69 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yes | 51c | 54,951$28,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,925.85 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Yes | 51c | 40,000$20,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,600 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc16b…8404backed Yes | 51c | 20,001$10,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,800.49 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked No | 52c | 12,282$6,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,386.19 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 73c | 11,030$8,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,927.03 | 195 | 44.6%87 W · 108 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ef…d497backed Yes | 51c | 4,902$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,401.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked No | 49c | 4,900$2,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400.99 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 22c | 4,745$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.06 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 74c | 4,030$2,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044.15 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed No | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,529.94 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc29d…3352backed Yes | 63c | 2,595$1,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.61 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 20c | 2,351$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.26 | 150 | 64%96 W · 54 L | +25.0wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 66c | 2,004$1,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.78 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed No | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked No | 44c | 1,619$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.15 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 52c | 1,518$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.19 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Yes | 53c | 1,509$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.43 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed No | 33c | 1,500$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.12 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Yes | 52c | 1,458$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.28 | 227 | 47.1%107 W · 120 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 70c | 1,364$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.98 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed No | 37c | 1,352$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 28 | 82.1%23 W · 5 L | +4.0wins | +0.14per pick | 68cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 53c | 1,345$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.91 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 48c | 1,304$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.33 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3b…6ba5backed No | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 23cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Yes | 51c | 998.04$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.04 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 6c | 848.61$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.05 | 223 | 32.3%72 W · 151 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed No | 49c | 836$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.9 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed No | 21c | 818.13$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.29 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x34a2…b10bbacked Yes | 49c | 750$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked No | 50c | 558.12$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.88 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a6…fa77backed No | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe351…e48dbacked No | 48c | 515.36$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.02 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed No | 41c | 499.99$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 51c | 479.21$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.32 | 343 | 42%144 W · 199 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 79c | 456.49$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.56 | 133 | 32.3%43 W · 90 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -37%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66c9…2e68backed Yes | 69c | 437.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.93 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes | 47c | 425.65$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.65 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 27c | 421.5$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.26 | 165 | 42.4%70 W · 95 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Yes | 49c | 395.76$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.83 | 147 | 56.5%83 W · 64 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Yes | 78c | 367.41$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.83 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd371…4478backed No | 18c | 356.73$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.21 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +1,204.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a93…32a0backed No | 41c | 350$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6891…949fbacked Yes | 56c | 339.8$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.51 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 48c | 331.45$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.37 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2b…d4e9backed Yes | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.36 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 50c | 290.64$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.89 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2422…28febacked Yes | 53c | 269.81$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.81 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed No | 49c | 263.01$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.28 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd4…ebc4backed Yes | 52c | 234$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd502…4d4cbacked No | 49c | 217.42$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.18 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb4…8830backed Yes | 47c | 215.23$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.07 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.22per pick | 37cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…5480backed No | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +4.7wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 333 | 40.8%136 W · 197 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 49c | 199$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.29 | 151 | 34.4%52 W · 99 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf70…7d5fbacked No | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb04…3ce1backed Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 50c | 176.19$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.65 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…3fddbacked No | 46c | 165.79$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.78 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe91c…5331backed Yes | 58c | 160$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.16 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x854e…8ad8backed Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 47c | 149.48$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.26 | 230 | 46.5%107 W · 123 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x058d…bbabbacked Yes | 71c | 133.8$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…9514backed Yes | 46c | 110$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked No | 48c | 109.98$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.79 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked Yes | 48c | 108.07$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.2 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked No | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Yes | 51c | 100.47$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.1 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…d27bbacked Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 135 | 55.6%75 W · 60 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x566e…1340backed No | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed No | 49c | 97.4$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.73 | 115 | 63.5%73 W · 42 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x154b…4917backed No | 50c | 96.32$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.09 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x693c…a7edbacked Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2936…07f5backed No | 24c | 86.28$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Yes | 48c | 85.97$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.7 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x189d…147cbacked No | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 81 | 69.1%56 W · 25 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd17e…0868backed Yes | 78c | 77.2$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.27 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84b5…a762backed Yes | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed Yes | 59c | 75.61$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 49c | 75$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.12 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked No | 50c | 74.6$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.3 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 49c | 74.5$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 258 | 55.4%143 W · 115 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07ec…ba9fbacked Yes | 67c | 72.47$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.92 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked No | 50c | 72$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…b60cbacked Yes | 44c | 71.91$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.27 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 50cpaid | +127.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb545…6e0abacked Yes | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64f4…9db5backed Yes | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…51b7backed No | 41c | 63.28$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf18…7a1abacked Yes | 57c | 57.58$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.76 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 65cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc587…1630backed No | 48c | 57.21$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.46 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed Yes | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked No | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d7…6beabacked No | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2025-12-13?this page
- Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2025-12-13?No won
- Will FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.