Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-03-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9dccc5ca92c407bfa0e9515d1a8c31168bbcd923542cb048667e242167983a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,324
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $89,851
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,324 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes | 2c | 10,038$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.38 | 71 | 7%5 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -89.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 2c | 5,907$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.7 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…90eabacked Yes | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 4c | 2,540$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.01 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 10c | 1,802$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.55 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 3c | 1,739$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Yes | 6c | 988$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.64 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Yes | 3c | 556.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.68 | 387 | 47.5%184 W · 203 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 70c | 529.31$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.35 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…2b04backed Yes | 32c | 470$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.4 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed69…de01backed Yes | 6c | 440$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c9…2498backed Yes | 9c | 386.29$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 68c | 377.5$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.8 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 70c | 337.28$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.8 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15d7…a861backed Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e40…7d1fbacked Yes | 10c | 286.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 52 | 23.1%12 W · 40 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 29c | 263.44$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.4 | 94 | 37.2%35 W · 59 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 12c | 206.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.24 | 123 | 19.5%24 W · 99 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 6c | 196.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 79c | 196.61$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.52 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Yes | 30c | 179.97$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.99 | 96 | 38.5%37 W · 59 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 22c | 168.77$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.13 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7350…9dc0backed Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 105 | 24.8%26 W · 79 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6820…b82bbacked Yes | 8c | 142$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8750…0841backed No | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 47 | 14.9%7 W · 40 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1045…06c8backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 14c | 95.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2936…07f5backed Yes | 12c | 89.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48df…e4c9backed Yes | 17c | 80$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Yes | 30c | 60.3$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 32c | 58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 146 | 41.1%60 W · 86 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 68c | 55$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.48 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20e2…6bb2backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes | 32c | 33.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | +8.8wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec6…726dbacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 70c | 23.83$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.27 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed No | 71c | 17.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.02 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e3…4bd5backed No | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 70cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Celtic FC win on 2026-03-01?this page
- Will Rangers FC vs. Celtic FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Rangers FC win on 2026-03-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.