Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Rangers FC vs. Celtic FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x53aab69275348caf97ba692c84390a7936bc5fd46a081b91dc33421c5e9e984f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,321
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,892
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,321 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 25c | 3,626$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.92 | 387 | 47.5%184 W · 203 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 20c | 2,903$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.2 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 21c | 2,566$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.57 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb0…9a6cbacked No | 13c | 1,730$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.21 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 9c | 1,249$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,134.14 | 123 | 19.5%24 W · 99 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 74c | 1,207$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.2 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 14c | 1,126$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.92 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked No | 15c | 1,041$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.94 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a0…92dfbacked Yes | 26c | 838.08$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.08 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 17c | 806.23$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.23 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 74c | 581.84$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.56 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Yes | 13c | 526.63$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.04 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Yes | 25c | 519.23$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.23 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 20c | 505.96$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.19 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed No | 5c | 473.85$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 74c | 370.7$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.28 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 25c | 358.34$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.76 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 43c | 314.32$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.62 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 26c | 263.44$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.95 | 94 | 37.2%35 W · 59 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Yes | 26c | 251.7$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.26 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d73…9d35backed Yes | 71c | 249.98$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.98 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d59…811bbacked No | 7c | 216.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +84.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 25c | 196.97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.73 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd265…a7ecbacked No | 11c | 170.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 17c | 160.16$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.64 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed No | 9c | 156.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 16c | 152.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 68 | 22.1%15 W · 53 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 9c | 149$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.59 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 19c | 139.26$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.8 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 22c | 136.36$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.36 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4720…007bbacked Yes | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -57%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 80c | 76.66$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.04 | 283 | 49.1%139 W · 144 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 26c | 71.15$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.65 | 292 | 44.9%131 W · 161 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked Yes | 26c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +134.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x71ea…1ff9backed No | 74c | 36.55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.05 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 74c | 35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed No | 80c | 32.73$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.11 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 74c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 408 | 50.7%207 W · 201 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0891…32aebacked No | 79c | 25.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.23per pick | 67cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81bb…8544backed No | 75c | 20.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 132 | 52.3%69 W · 63 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed No | 74c | 18.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75e3…4bd5backed No | 74c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 70cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Rangers FC vs. Celtic FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Celtic FC win on 2026-03-01?No won
- Will Rangers FC win on 2026-03-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.