Serie A · resolved market
Will Juventus beat Inter Milan?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x18e0c1069029f2a6fd0bafc593f9bf99ab31a9d25b57b52039ff70deb0b73df9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,919
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,417
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,919 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 25c | 4,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed No | 75c | 3,453$2,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,589.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed No | 34c | 1,454$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.99 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Yes | 26c | 1,232$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.53 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…dafdbacked No | 77c | 1,193$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 19c | 1,053$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.63 | 117 | 72.6%85 W · 32 L | +28.2wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 74c | 853$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.22 | 285 | 56.1%160 W · 125 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 26c | 566$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.84 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf240…03c2backed Yes | 23c | 442$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +92.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Yes | 25c | 412$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +115.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 74c | 405$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.67 | 284 | 58.1%165 W · 119 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 74c | 307.14$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.31 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 31c | 290.62$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.28 | 175 | 43.4%76 W · 99 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked No | 73c | 286.5$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7b…f74ebacked No | 75c | 250$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…66e1backed No | 77c | 240$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.97 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf01d…4864backed Yes | 26c | 229.86$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x824d…1e1fbacked Yes | 22c | 190.7$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +125.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 74c | 145.48$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.01 | 255 | 56.5%144 W · 111 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 25c | 142.17$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.17 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc4…9e48backed Yes | 36c | 124.96$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe121…9f3bbacked Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…d9c7backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe474…2c56backed Yes | 23c | 90$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e01…7135backed No | 77c | 84.42$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97df…3088backed Yes | 19c | 68.96$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.86 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Yes | 23c | 68.76$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 12cpaid | +46%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 25c | 64$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd0…4b9dbacked No | 74c | 58$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…b4b2backed No | 73c | 55$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed8…7b73backed Yes | 26c | 54.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb482…fbc7backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe43a…9c1fbacked Yes | 73c | 48.32$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2936…07f5backed Yes | 27c | 40.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.74 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0710…42a2backed No | 77c | 40$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.7 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…8509backed No | 76c | 14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Juventus beat Inter Milan?this page
- Will Inter Milan beat Juventus?No won
- Will the match between Juventus and Inter Milan end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.