Serie A · resolved market
Will Inter Milan beat Juventus?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c9b690b4612451499c50ab094e95e70e14d4bc4061e54335f4ca1f1fd0478ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,459
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,550
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,459 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 54c | 4,630$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,129.8 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44c4…09cbbacked Yes | 47c | 2,837$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 46c | 2,500$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87e1…4fd3backed No | 73c | 2,166$1,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x394a…d309backed No | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59c0…cd82backed Yes | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed No | 55c | 1,427$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.03 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 50c | 1,149$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.44 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb1…4253backed No | 53c | 1,078$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Yes | 45c | 943.39$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes | 12c | 840.76$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.93 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked No | 52c | 722.27$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +68%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Yes | 47c | 700$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Yes | 46c | 654.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.98 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc17…2a3bbacked Yes | 47c | 567.02$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd69a…81eabacked Yes | 46c | 478.21$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.18 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 45c | 470.76$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.84 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 45c | 433.34$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -6.3wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd9eb…8be1backed Yes | 47c | 424.11$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.33 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 61c | 382.66$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.55 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe53c…14aabacked Yes | 46c | 230$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…6214backed No | 54c | 222$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf25…224cbacked Yes | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 55c | 141$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.4 | 284 | 58.1%165 W · 119 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…374abacked No | 55c | 112$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.52 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…48e1backed No | 54c | 105$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe064…4cc2backed Yes | 46c | 102$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf112…21ebbacked Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 55c | 92.98$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.84 | 285 | 56.1%160 W · 125 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3267…7743backed Yes | 46c | 91$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…fe2bbacked No | 54c | 85$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0710…42a2backed No | 55c | 80$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.2 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92be…d717backed No | 55c | 52.58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefef…cd06backed Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf07b…60a3backed Yes | 46c | 48.76$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked No | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02c3…eab7backed No | 54c | 29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…d03abacked Yes | 46c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1d…890abacked Yes | 46c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc937…d3b4backed No | 54c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a38…6da4backed Yes | 46c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed No | 52c | 23.89$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf13e…dd1dbacked No | 54c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked No | 52c | 21.26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +86.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d86…dd55backed No | 54c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Inter Milan beat Juventus?this page
- Will Juventus beat Inter Milan?Yes won
- Will the match between Juventus and Inter Milan end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.