Serie A · resolved market
Will the match between Juventus and Inter Milan end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f5e1691ab0a943c315f7cc974bb085c978ff594ee9fa0306f76402c7f1009d0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,116
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,198
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,116 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4c24…cf59backed Yes | 29c | 256$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5362…760abacked No | 71c | 211$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Yes | 19c | 194.56$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.77 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b3…6ed8backed No | 71c | 125$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 70c | 107$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.1 | 284 | 58.1%165 W · 119 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf25…224cbacked Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed86…7803backed No | 72c | 90$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…374abacked Yes | 30c | 80$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1673…e40dbacked Yes | 30c | 80$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x824d…1e1fbacked Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +125.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0710…42a2backed No | 67c | 54$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.78 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Yes | 28c | 54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3f…5960backed No | 71c | 45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed Yes | 30c | 39.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7311…6b60backed No | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 70c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 285 | 56.1%160 W · 125 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5590…bb95backed No | 71c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 69c | 19.35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the match between Juventus and Inter Milan end in a draw?this page
- Will Inter Milan beat Juventus?No won
- Will Juventus beat Inter Milan?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.