TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will Manchester United beat Rangers?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$179,950
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$202,179

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $179,950 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xffd6…9b1cbacked Yes57c67,827$38,666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,160.94366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+20.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed No43c48,379$20,799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,798.699961.6%61 W · 38 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+14.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed No38c18,599$6,976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,975.9318739%73 W · 114 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No36c6,961$2,518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,518.3333055.2%182 W · 148 L+21.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xeab5…63a1backed Yes67c4,056$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,355.73475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+18.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Yes38c3,235$1,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,012.7112166.9%81 W · 40 L+17.2wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+29.8%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes61c1,680$1,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649.662846.4%13 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x13ce…35f0backed Yes63c1,293$815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.571952.6%10 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf19…ca28backed Yes64c1,159$742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.124100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+113.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed No37c1,000$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3708749.4%43 W · 44 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked No37c950.17$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.714837.5%18 W · 30 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No33c780.14$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.214756.5%83 W · 64 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No43c726.57$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.5312243.4%53 W · 69 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-27.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x99c2…ef35backed No49c719.78$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.173666.7%24 W · 12 L+4.8wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+32.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8637…9657backed No37c677.82$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.59333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-58.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No36c624$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.6424655.7%137 W · 109 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe564…e364backed No32c491.09$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x950c…76f2backed Yes67c486.9$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.68560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+42.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x722c…515fbacked Yes63c463.21$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.39366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+28.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x212a…dbe8backed Yes68c441.18$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.181145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+191%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Yes64c434.16$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.1412737%47 W · 80 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b0b…f9d6backed No42c419.99$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.41258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b90…f4f2backed Yes57c352.63$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe695…7493backed Yes68c350$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1121100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No34c319.99$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.412948.8%63 W · 66 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa4b…24d0backed Yes64c312.5$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x047b…ef6fbacked No38c300$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.26250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf918…81f9backed Yes63c222.21$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.223100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+83.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe34d…f8a9backed Yes68c208.82$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6413552.6%71 W · 64 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d6d…f360backed Yes20c199.96$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.68366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick36cpaid+113.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x53e0…fd63backed Yes55c179.39$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.73250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes63c164.91$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.518244%80 W · 102 L-8.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba99…8f26backed No40c149.38$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6030%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0cf6…aab2backed Yes68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbea9…c16dbacked No35c142.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc84a…9099backed Yes67c137.56$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.39862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0bb…9702backed No37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.27per pick44cpaid+54.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x48ac…714fbacked Yes64c133.08$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.912100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+103.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x39e6…d62dbacked Yes60c119.98$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.79250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67b8…c769backed Yes62c112.18$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.18560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa075…09fdbacked Yes68c110.26$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.29540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-28.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3220655.3%114 W · 92 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5036…416bbacked No38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383839.5%15 W · 23 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-23.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7eee…b4b2backed Yes62c99.99$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0ff…ca90backed No44c92.86$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.862236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-32%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa64a…21dabacked Yes56c92.86$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.861346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick32cpaid+31.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked Yes61c91.87$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.837566.7%50 W · 25 L+8.4wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+18.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd0ed…196dbacked Yes61c86.03$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7221…df5ebacked No35c85.86$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66b7…176cbacked Yes57c80$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.4425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-56.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c3d…3681backed Yes63c79.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.923100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+39.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2936…07f5backed No28c79.71$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.11118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-31.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaff0…3e1fbacked No39c74.36$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291225%3 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-28.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3075…08ddbacked Yes70c71.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa646…7117backed No33c62.6$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.62250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe815…93f4backed No33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64e4…2089backed Yes67c59.7$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.7450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20e2…6bb2backed Yes58c57.03$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+71.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bb8…7471backed Yes63c55.98$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.928239%32 W · 50 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5652…ff34backed No36c55.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205347.2%25 W · 28 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5e2…806fbacked Yes66c53.03$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.03683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick69cpaid+19.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x36a9…9f4bbacked Yes57c41.96$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.043100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa8e…0c35backed Yes57c40.22$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6d0…5962backed Yes59c38.98$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.98250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf450…2ca4backed No44c38.63$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4946…e041backed Yes65c38.46$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.461080%8 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+40.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x284a…30edbacked Yes57c35$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedb1…1078backed No33c34.77$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.48366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+25.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31ba…ade1backed No32c31.91$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.21250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6eb8…b45dbacked No37c31.66$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.71333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-34.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc4d…bf13backed Yes63c31.66$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.713100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+111.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d3c…2f8cbacked Yes66c31.37$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4330…6142backed Yes66c30.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.36366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x320a…ffe0backed No34c29.64$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5cb…20f3backed Yes68c29.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.41250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ae…278bbacked Yes66c29.36$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.98366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+33.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x18f6…e87fbacked Yes64c28.31$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.15757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfda…6c0bbacked Yes66c27.74$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6de3…00b9backed Yes66c26.55$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.03250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26be…a5acbacked Yes68c25.74$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde89…d58fbacked Yes66c24.87$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa97b…6a2bbacked Yes68c24.77$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb35…1a8cbacked Yes66c24.45$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8239…ddd7backed Yes62c24.19$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.193016.7%5 W · 25 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-70.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x07be…4c3bbacked Yes68c23.82$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.62250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56f2…56f3backed Yes65c23.82$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.34250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd176…a1dbbacked Yes67c23.29$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.69250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc547…1bb4backed Yes68c22.56$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4771…7310backed Yes67c22.37$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.38250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Yes67c22.28$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.283672.2%26 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a13…52adbacked Yes68c21.79$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.97250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ae5…bd27backed Yes67c21.56$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.112100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6ac…b899backed Yes65c20.67$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa57b…850ebacked Yes67c20.46$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc2f…7d08backed Yes68c20.27$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.47540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-40.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe85d…e3e4backed Yes67c20.01$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.62100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4e5…b199backed Yes60c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7bf0…aed7backed Yes63c18.9$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x05f1…d7fdbacked Yes67c16.95$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.