Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will PAOK vs. SK Brann end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf27bf9edf26189176159c2136a12c6f60487b150aae802ea942c2f344c472aa6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,279
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,284
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,279 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 12c | 6,737$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,916.45 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 37c | 1,127$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.02 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 70c | 787.51$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.94 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 71c | 576.07$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.92 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac2a…7418backed Yes | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 78c | 485.09$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.03 | 103 | 60.2%62 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 34c | 452$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.32 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9776…fc56backed Yes | 16c | 412.5$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.5 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -24%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed No | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…cf15backed Yes | 12c | 291.8$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.78 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb04…3ce1backed Yes | 18c | 222.22$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.22 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 10c | 219$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 80 | 27.5%22 W · 58 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed No | 6c | 209.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae9…74acbacked No | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9827…e5ffbacked Yes | 21c | 191$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.89 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e24…cea8backed Yes | 21c | 145.38$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 27cpaid | +132.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc40f…1950backed No | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.5 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.91 | 274 | 37.2%102 W · 172 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 67c | 75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.25 | 118 | 69.5%82 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 77c | 38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 142 | 33.1%47 W · 95 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd18b…300cbacked No | 78c | 22.28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…3f2fbacked No | 77c | 19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed No | 77c | 19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefb2…b043backed No | 79c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 75cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x508e…648bbacked No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will PAOK vs. SK Brann end in a draw?this page
- Will PAOK win on 2025-11-27?No won
- Will SK Brann win on 2025-11-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.